Match Info

NFL - Round 4

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Highmark Stadium (Orchard Park, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+, ESPN 2
Peru	Fox Sports 2
Spain	DAZN Espana
United-kingdom	DAZN
World	NFL Game Pass


	Buffalo Bills		New Orleans Saints

	1	2
	1.08	9	Watch
	1.05	8.8	Watch
	1.1	8.11
	1.02	11.90	Watch
	1.08	7.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.07 ↓ (1.08)	9.16 ↑ (8.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 48.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-14)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Buffalo Bills
89.6%

New Orleans Saints
10.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

89.1%

10.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Buffalo Bills has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

New Orleans Saints has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Buffalo Bills - New Orleans Saints Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Buffalo will win (votes: 12 - 85.7%). New Orleans will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Buffalo: 67.4% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -15.5, OT - Buffalo (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Buffalo Bills will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Buffalo (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:17

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (14 - 7)
04:11, Shakir K. (Touchdown),
04:11, Prater M. (Extra Point),
08:14, Miller K. (Touchdown),
08:14, Grupe B. (Extra Point),
12:31, Cook J. (Touchdown),
12:31, Prater M. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (0 - 3)
09:29, Grupe B. (Field Goal),
3rd Quarter (7 - 6)
08:18, Allen J. (Touchdown),
08:18, Prater M. (Extra Point),
14:46, Olave C. (Touchdown),
14:46, (2-Point Conversion Failed),
4th Quarter (10 - 3)
06:07, Grupe B. (Field Goal),
07:53, Kincaid D. (Touchdown),
07:53, Prater M. (Extra Point),
12:51, Prater M. (Field Goal),

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 and 16).

Buffalo is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

New Orleans has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

New Orleans may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, New Orleans has had a series of home games.

In this match, Buffalo is the undeniable favorite.

There are questionable in Buffalo: White T. (Groin Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Buffalo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 58:88. (average 19.3:29.3).

Including home match between the teams, Buffalo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:47.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Buffalo Bills
NFL
18.09.25	Buffalo Bills - Miami Dolphins	31:21 ✺
14.09.25	New York Jets - Buffalo Bills	10:30 ✺
07.09.25	Buffalo Bills - Baltimore Ravens	41:40 ✺
23.08.25	Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Buffalo Bills	19:23 ✺
17.08.25	Chicago Bears - Buffalo Bills	38:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWWL
- New Orleans Saints
NFL
21.09.25	Seattle Seahawks - New Orleans Saints	44:13 ✺
14.09.25	New Orleans Saints - San Francisco 49ers	21:26 ✺
07.09.25	New Orleans Saints - Arizona Cardinals	13:20 ✺
23.08.25	New Orleans Saints - Denver Broncos	19:28 ✺
17.08.25	New Orleans Saints - Jacksonville Jaguars	17:17 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

NFL
25.11.21	New Orleans Saints - Buffalo Bills	6:31
12.11.17	Buffalo Bills - New Orleans Saints	10:47
27.10.13	New Orleans Saints - Buffalo Bills	35:17

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