Match Info

NFL - Round 18

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Highmark Stadium (Orchard Park, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	DAZN
Croatia	DAZN
Czech-republic	DAZN
Denmark	DAZN
Finland	DAZN
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	DAZN
Hungary	DAZN
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Norway	DAZN
Poland	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN Portugal
Romania	DAZN
Serbia	DAZN
Slovenia	DAZN
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	DAZN
Thailand	DAZN
Turkey	DAZN Turkiye
Ukraine	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	DAZN
World	NFL Game Pass


	Buffalo Bills		New York Jets

	1	2
	1.17	5.5	Watch
	1.24	4.25
	1.12	5.87	Watch
	1.07	7.22	Watch
	1.13	6
	1.15	5
	1.14	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.15 ↑ (1.14)	5.69 ↓ (5.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 39.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Buffalo Bills
83.2%

New York Jets
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

84%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Buffalo Bills has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

New York Jets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Buffalo Bills - New York Jets Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Buffalo will win (votes: 12 - 75%). NY Jets will win (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Buffalo: 53.8% – 96.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Buffalo (votes: 4 - 50%). NY Jets (votes: 4 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 6.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +8.5, OT - NY Jets (2.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 3Q - Buffalo (1.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 2Q - Buffalo (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 1Q - Buffalo (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 2nd Half - Buffalo (1.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 1st Half - Buffalo (1.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 4Q - Buffalo (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 3Q - Buffalo (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 2Q - Buffalo (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1Q - Buffalo (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 2nd Half - Buffalo (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Buffalo (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, OT - Buffalo (1.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 4Q - Buffalo (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 22 Selected Experts predict this event. Buffalo (votes: 17 - 77.3%). NY Jets (votes: 5 - 22.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 24:16

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (7 - 0)
06:43, Knox D. (Touchdown),
06:43, Prater M. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (14 - 0)
03:17, Johnson T. (Touchdown),
03:17, Prater M. (Extra Point),
10:02, Davis R. (Touchdown),
10:02, Prater M. (Extra Point),
3rd Quarter (8 - 0)
07:14, Davis G. (Touchdown),
07:14, Coleman K. (Two-Point Conversion),
4th Quarter (6 - 8)
02:55, Johnson T. (Touchdown),
02:55, (2-Point Conversion Failed),
07:27, Beck A. (Touchdown),
07:27, Skinner Q. (Two-Point Conversion),

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Buffalo won 4.

Buffalo is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

NY Jets has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Buffalo is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Buffalo won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 487:354. (average 24.4:17.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Buffalo won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 249:165. (average 24.9:16.5).

Outrights of NFL for now

Buffalo Bills: 10.45% New York Jets: 0.28%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Buffalo Bills
NFL
28.12.25	Buffalo Bills - Philadelphia Eagles	12:13 ✺
21.12.25	Cleveland Browns - Buffalo Bills	20:23 ✺
14.12.25	New England Patriots - Buffalo Bills	31:35 ✺
07.12.25	Buffalo Bills - Cincinnati Bengals	39:34 ✺
30.11.25	Pittsburgh Steelers - Buffalo Bills	7:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWWWW
- New York Jets
NFL
28.12.25	New York Jets - New England Patriots	10:42 ✺
21.12.25	New Orleans Saints - New York Jets	29:6 ✺
14.12.25	Jacksonville Jaguars - New York Jets	48:20 ✺
07.12.25	New York Jets - Miami Dolphins	10:34 ✺
30.11.25	New York Jets - Atlanta Falcons	27:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

NFL
14.09.25	New York Jets - Buffalo Bills	10:30
29.12.24	Buffalo Bills - New York Jets	40:14
14.10.24	New York Jets - Buffalo Bills	20:23
19.11.23	Buffalo Bills - New York Jets	32:6
11.09.23	New York Jets - Buffalo Bills	22:16 OT
11.12.22	Buffalo Bills - New York Jets	20:12
06.11.22	New York Jets - Buffalo Bills	20:17

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