Match Info

USA: NCAA

Date: 19 October 2024, Saturday


	Cincinnati Bearcats		Arizona State Sun Devils

	1	2
	1.45	2.8
	1.48	2.7
	1.45	2.71	Watch
	1.47	2.81
	1.45	2.74
	1.4	2.75
	1.46	2.8
	1.45	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.69)	2.75 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 51.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cincinnati Bearcats
65.5%

Arizona State Sun Devils
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

46.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cincinnati Bearcats has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cincinnati Bearcats's performance.

Arizona State Sun Devils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arizona State Sun Devils might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati Bearcats than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cincinnati Bearcats that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arizona State Sun Devils than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arizona State Sun Devils could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cincinnati Bearcats - Arizona State Sun Devils Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:23

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (10 - 7)
04:25, Skattebo C. (Touchdown),
04:25, Hershey I. (Extra Point),
07:34, Sorsby B. (Touchdown),
07:34, Hawks N. (Extra Point),
12:42, Hawks N. (Field Goal),
2nd Quarter (14 - 0)
03:22, Pryor E. (Touchdown),
03:22, Hawks N. (Extra Point),
13:05, Sorsby B. (Touchdown),
13:05, Hawks N. (Extra Point),
3rd Quarter (0 - 7)
12:37, Skattebo C. (Touchdown),
12:37, Hershey I. (Extra Point),
4th Quarter (0 - 0)

Preview

Recent matches Cincinnati is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Arizona State is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Arizona State could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Cincinnati will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cincinnati Bearcats football
NCAA College Football
12.10.24	UCF Knights - Cincinnati Bearcats	13:19 ✺
28.09.24	Texas Tech Red Raiders - Cincinnati Bearcats	44:41 ✺
21.09.24	Cincinnati Bearcats - Houston Cougars	34:0 ✺
14.09.24	Miami OH RedHawks - Cincinnati Bearcats	16:27 ✺
07.09.24	Cincinnati Bearcats - Pittsburgh Panthers	27:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLWWL
- Arizona State Sun Devils football
NCAA College Football
11.10.24	Arizona State Sun Devils - Utah Utes	27:19 ✺
05.10.24	Arizona State Sun Devils - Kansas Jayhawks	35:31 ✺
21.09.24	Texas Tech Red Raiders - Arizona State Sun Devils	30:22 ✺
12.09.24	Texas State Bobcats - Arizona State Sun Devils	28:31 ✺
07.09.24	Arizona State Sun Devils - Mississippi State Bulldogs	30:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWLWW

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