Match Info

USA: NFL - ROUND 3

Date: 25 September 2023, Monday

Location: Paycor Stadium (Cincinnati)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ESPN
Brazil	ESPN 4
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Sport
Finland	CMore, CMore MAX
France	beIN Sports
Hungary	Arena 4


	Cincinnati Bengals		Los Angeles Rams

	1	2
	1.59	2.5	Watch
	1.57	2.45	Watch
	1.59	2.4
	1.62	2.45
	1.59	2.5
	1.61	2.36
	1.57	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.78)	2.41 ↑ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 45.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

Watch this match and NFL with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: ESPN2

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Current Win Probability

Cincinnati Bengals
60.2%

Los Angeles Rams
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cincinnati Bengals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cincinnati Bengals's performance.

Los Angeles Rams has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Los Angeles Rams might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati Bengals than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cincinnati Bengals that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Angeles Rams than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Los Angeles Rams could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Cincinnati Bengals - Los Angeles Rams Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Cincinnati will win (votes: 14 - 40%). LA Rams will win (votes: 21 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for LA Rams: 43.8% – 76.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 25:22

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Preview

Cincinnati has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

LA Rams is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cincinnati will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Cincinnati won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 77-61.

Including matches at home between the teams Cincinnati won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 67-37.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cincinnati Bengals
NFL
17.09.23	Cincinnati Bengals - Baltimore Ravens	24:27 ✺
10.09.23	Cleveland Browns - Cincinnati Bengals	24:3 ✺
26.08.23	Washington Commanders - Cincinnati Bengals	21:19 ✺
18.08.23	Atlanta Falcons - Cincinnati Bengals	13:13 ✺
11.08.23	Cincinnati Bengals - Green Bay Packers	19:36 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLLTL
- Los Angeles Rams
NFL
17.09.23	Los Angeles Rams - San Francisco 49ers	23:30 ✺
10.09.23	Seattle Seahawks - Los Angeles Rams	13:30 ✺
26.08.23	Denver Broncos - Los Angeles Rams	41:0 ✺
19.08.23	Los Angeles Rams - Las Vegas Raiders	17:34 ✺
12.08.23	Los Angeles Rams - Los Angeles Chargers	17:34 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

NFL
27.08.22	Cincinnati Bengals - Los Angeles Rams	16:7
13.02.22	Cincinnati Bengals - Los Angeles Rams	20:23
27.10.19	Los Angeles Rams - Cincinnati Bengals	24:10
29.11.15	Cincinnati Bengals - Los Angeles Rams	31:7

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