Match Info

USA: NFL - Round 9

Date: 3 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Cleveland Browns Stadium (Cleveland, OH)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Spain	DAZN Espana
United-kingdom	DAZN NFL
Usa	NFL Game Pass


	Cleveland Browns		Los Angeles Chargers

	1	2
	2.1	1.77	Watch
	2.05	1.8
	2.03	1.82	Watch
	2.17	1.77
	2.15	1.71	Watch
	2.1	1.77
	2.03	1.79
	2.03	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.53)	1.78 ↑ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 42.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

Watch this match and NFL with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: CBS (KBAK-Bakersfield, CA)

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Current Win Probability

Cleveland Browns
46.1%

Los Angeles Chargers
53.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

61.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

63.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cleveland Browns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cleveland Browns's performance.

Los Angeles Chargers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Los Angeles Chargers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cleveland Browns than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cleveland Browns that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Angeles Chargers than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Los Angeles Chargers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Cleveland Browns - Los Angeles Chargers Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Cleveland will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). LA Chargers will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for LA Chargers: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 20:22

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (0 - 7)
08:11, Palmer J. (Touchdown),
08:11, Dicker C. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (3 - 13)
05:30, Hopkins D. (Field Goal),
06:59, Johnston Q. (Touchdown),
06:59, Dicker C. (Missed Extra Point),
11:30, Dobbins J. (Touchdown),
11:30, Dicker C. (Extra Point),
3rd Quarter (0 - 0)
4th Quarter (7 - 7)
03:19, Dicker C. (Missed Field Goal),
10:44, Dobbins J. (Touchdown),
10:44, Dicker C. (Extra Point),
14:16, Tillman C. (Touchdown),
14:16, Hopkins D. (Extra Point),

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 12 and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cleveland won 1.

Cleveland is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches LA Chargers is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Cleveland won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 148:187 (average 21.1:26.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Cleveland won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 69:91 (average 17.3:22.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cleveland Browns
NFL
27.10.24	Cleveland Browns - Baltimore Ravens	29:24 ✺
20.10.24	Cleveland Browns - Cincinnati Bengals	14:21 ✺
13.10.24	Philadelphia Eagles - Cleveland Browns	20:16 ✺
06.10.24	Washington Commanders - Cleveland Browns	34:13 ✺
29.09.24	Las Vegas Raiders - Cleveland Browns	20:16 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLLLL
- Los Angeles Chargers
NFL
27.10.24	Los Angeles Chargers - New Orleans Saints	26:8 ✺
21.10.24	Arizona Cardinals - Los Angeles Chargers	17:15 ✺
13.10.24	Denver Broncos - Los Angeles Chargers	16:23 ✺
29.09.24	Los Angeles Chargers - Kansas City Chiefs	10:17 ✺
22.09.24	Pittsburgh Steelers - Los Angeles Chargers	20:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

NFL
09.10.22	Cleveland Browns - Los Angeles Chargers	28:30
10.10.21	Los Angeles Chargers - Cleveland Browns	47:42
14.10.18	Cleveland Browns - Los Angeles Chargers	14:38
03.12.17	Los Angeles Chargers - Cleveland Browns	19:10
24.12.16	Cleveland Browns - Los Angeles Chargers	20:17
04.10.15	Los Angeles Chargers - Cleveland Browns	30:27
28.10.12	Cleveland Browns - Los Angeles Chargers	7:6

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