Match Info

NFL - Round 18

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Empower Field at Mile High (Denver, CO)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, DAZN
Czech-republic	DAZN, Nova Sport 5, Oneplay
Denmark	DAZN, TV2 Play, TV2 Sport
Finland	DAZN
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	DAZN
Hungary	Arena 4, DAZN
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Norway	DAZN
Poland	DAZN, Polsat Sport Fight
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN Portugal
Romania	DAZN
Serbia	Arena Premium 5, DAZN
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2, DAZN
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	DAZN
Thailand	DAZN
Turkey	DAZN Turkiye
Ukraine	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN, Sky Sports Main Event
Uruguay	DAZN
World	NFL Game Pass


	Denver Broncos		Los Angeles Chargers

	1	2
	1.08	9	Watch
	1.09	8
	1.06	8.27	Watch
	1.03	10.44	Watch
	1.08	7.5
	1.08	9
	1.07	9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.07 ↓ (1.73)	8.74 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 37.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-14)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Denver Broncos
89.1%

Los Angeles Chargers
10.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.4%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denver Broncos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+33.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Denver Broncos's performance.

Los Angeles Chargers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-33.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Los Angeles Chargers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Denver Broncos than the current prediction. (-32.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Denver Broncos that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Angeles Chargers than the current prediction. (+32.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Los Angeles Chargers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Denver Broncos - Los Angeles Chargers Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Denver will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). LA Chargers will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Denver: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Denver (votes: 3 - 60%). LA Chargers (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

1X2, OT - Denver (1.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 2Q - Denver (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1Q - Denver (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 2nd Half - Denver (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Denver (1.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 4Q - Denver (1.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 3Q - Denver (1.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 2Q - Denver (1.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 1Q - Denver (1.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 2nd Half - Denver (1.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 1st Half - Denver (1.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 4Q - Denver (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 3Q - Denver (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 18 Selected Experts predict this event. Denver (votes: 16 - 88.9%). LA Chargers (votes: 2 - 11.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 26:12

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (10 - 0)
09:54, Lutz W. (Field Goal),
11:21, McMillian J. (Touchdown),
11:21, Lutz W. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (0 - 3)
14:57, Dicker C. (Field Goal),
3rd Quarter (3 - 0)
04:53, Lutz W. (Field Goal),
4th Quarter (6 - 0)
03:15, Lutz W. (Field Goal),
12:37, Lutz W. (Field Goal),

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Denver won 2.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

In this match, Denver is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Denver won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 404:419. (average 20.2:21).

Including home matches between the teams, Denver won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 232:206. (average 23.2:20.6).

Outrights of NFL for now

Denver Broncos: 3.64% Los Angeles Chargers: 0.55%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Denver Broncos
NFL
25.12.25	Kansas City Chiefs - Denver Broncos	13:20 ✺
21.12.25	Denver Broncos - Jacksonville Jaguars	20:34 ✺
14.12.25	Denver Broncos - Green Bay Packers	34:26 ✺
07.12.25	Las Vegas Raiders - Denver Broncos	17:24 ✺
30.11.25	Washington Commanders - Denver Broncos	26:27 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLWWW
- Los Angeles Chargers
NFL
27.12.25	Los Angeles Chargers - Houston Texans	16:20 ✺
21.12.25	Dallas Cowboys - Los Angeles Chargers	17:34 ✺
14.12.25	Kansas City Chiefs - Los Angeles Chargers	13:16 ✺
08.12.25	Los Angeles Chargers - Philadelphia Eagles	22:19 OT ✺
30.11.25	Los Angeles Chargers - Las Vegas Raiders	31:14 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

NFL
21.09.25	Los Angeles Chargers - Denver Broncos	23:20
19.12.24	Los Angeles Chargers - Denver Broncos	34:27
13.10.24	Denver Broncos - Los Angeles Chargers	16:23
31.12.23	Denver Broncos - Los Angeles Chargers	16:9
10.12.23	Los Angeles Chargers - Denver Broncos	7:24
08.01.23	Denver Broncos - Los Angeles Chargers	31:28
17.10.22	Los Angeles Chargers - Denver Broncos	19:16 OT

Upcoming Matches