The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Duke Blue Devils 64.3%
Virginia Cavaliers 35.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
66.3%
33.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
63.7%
36.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Duke Blue Devils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
Virginia Cavaliers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Duke Blue Devils than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virginia Cavaliers than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
21.4%
0%
78.6%
Duke Blue Devils - Virginia Cavaliers Predictions
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Duke will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Virginia will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for Virginia: 57.1% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Virginia Cavaliers will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 33:28
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Key Events of the Match
1st Quarter (0 - 7)
06:47, Taylor J. (Touchdown),
06:47, Bettridge W. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (3 - 10)
09:27, Pelino T. (Field Goal),
13:21, Ennis S. (Touchdown),
13:21, Bettridge W. (Extra Point),
14:57, Bettridge W. (Field Goal),
3rd Quarter (0 - 14)
08:11, Harris T. (Touchdown),
08:11, Bettridge W. (Extra Point),
12:33, Taylor J. (Touchdown),
12:33, Bettridge W. (Extra Point),
4th Quarter (14 - 3)
04:37, Barkate C. (Touchdown),
04:37, Pelino T. (Extra Point),
05:30, Freeman T. (Touchdown),
05:30, Pelino T. (Extra Point),
09:18, Bettridge W. (Field Goal),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Duke won 1.
Duke has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Virginia is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Recently, Duke has had a series of away games.
Duke will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Duke won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 285:365. (average 23.8:30.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Duke won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 134:109. (average 26.8:21.8).