Match Info

UFL - Round 8

Date: 17 May 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Houston Roughnecks		Michigan Panthers

	1	2
	3.4	1.33
	3.3	1.32
	3.56	1.3
	3.33	1.32	Watch
	3	1.36
	3.4	1.33
	3.3	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↑ (2.73)	1.33 ↓ (1.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 43.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Houston Roughnecks
28.5%

Michigan Panthers
71.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.9%

65.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

61.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Houston Roughnecks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Houston Roughnecks's form might have worsened.

Michigan Panthers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Michigan Panthers's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Houston Roughnecks than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Houston Roughnecks, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michigan Panthers than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Michigan Panthers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Houston Roughnecks - Michigan Panthers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 19:26

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (3 - 7)
2nd Quarter (9 - 7)
3rd Quarter (0 - 13)
4th Quarter (6 - 3)

Preview

Houston Roughnecks has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Michigan is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Michigan is considered a favorite.

We predict that Michigan will win today's game, with odds of 1.38.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Houston Roughnecks won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 42:60. (average 21:30).

Including home match between the teams, Houston Roughnecks won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 22:26.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Houston Roughnecks
UFL
11.05.25	Birmingham Stallions - Houston Roughnecks	33:25 ✺
03.05.25	Houston Roughnecks - Memphis Showboats	21:20 ✺
27.04.25	San Antonio Brahmas - Houston Roughnecks	3:27 ✺
19.04.25	Houston Roughnecks - Birmingham Stallions	16:23 ✺
12.04.25	Memphis Showboats - Houston Roughnecks	17:18 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWWLW
- Michigan Panthers
UFL
10.05.25	Dallas Renegades - Michigan Panthers	24:25 ✺
04.05.25	Michigan Panthers - DC Defenders	38:14 ✺
26.04.25	St. Louis BattleHawks - Michigan Panthers	32:27 ✺
18.04.25	Michigan Panthers - Memphis Showboats	27:9 ✺
13.04.25	Michigan Panthers - San Antonio Brahmas	26:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

UFL
26.05.24	Houston Roughnecks - Michigan Panthers	22:26
14.04.24	Michigan Panthers - Houston Roughnecks	34:20

Houston Roughnecks - Michigan Panthers