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Current Win Probability
Houston Texans 34.6%
Detroit Lions 65.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.4%
60.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.7%
60.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Houston Texans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
Detroit Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Houston Texans than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Houston Texans, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Detroit Lions than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Detroit Lions, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
6.7%
0%
93.3%
Houston Texans - Detroit Lions Predictions
Users Predictions:
Detroit Lions will win
(14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 80.7% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 23:27
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Key Events of the Match
1st Quarter (10 - 0)
07:14, Mixon J. (Touchdown),
07:14, Fairbairn K. (Extra Point),
12:51, Fairbairn K. (Field Goal),
2nd Quarter (13 - 7)
04:08, Laporta S. (Touchdown),
04:08, Bates J. (Extra Point),
06:30, Fairbairn K. (Field Goal),
10:50, Fairbairn K. (Field Goal),
14:48, Metchie J. (Touchdown),
14:48, Fairbairn K. (Extra Point),
3rd Quarter (0 - 6)
03:26, Montgomery D. (Touchdown),
03:26, Montgomery D. (2-Point Conversion Failed),
4th Quarter (0 - 13)
03:22, St. Brown A. (Touchdown),
03:22, Bates J. (Extra Point),
09:54, Bates J. (Field Goal),
13:04, Fairbairn K. (Missed Field Goal),
14:56, Bates J. (Field Goal),
Preview
One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 5 and 1).
Recent matches Houston is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Detroit in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Houston could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Detroit will have a small advantage in this match.
Our prediction for today's Detroit to win the game is with odds 1.55.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Houston won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 125:92 (average 31.3:23).
Including matches at home between the teams Houston won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 50:36 (average 25:18).
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