Match Info

NFL - Round 18

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday

Location: NRG Stadium (Houston, TX)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, DAZN
Czech-republic	DAZN
Denmark	DAZN
Finland	DAZN
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	DAZN
Hungary	DAZN
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Norway	DAZN
Poland	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN Portugal
Romania	DAZN
Serbia	Arena Premium 5, DAZN
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2, DAZN
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	DAZN
Thailand	DAZN
Turkey	DAZN Turkiye
Ukraine	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	DAZN
World	NFL Game Pass


	Houston Texans		Indianapolis Colts

	1	2
	1.18	5	Watch
	1.16	4.87	Watch
	1.17	4.99	Watch
	1.17	5
	1.17	5.02
	1.18	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.17 ↑ (1.17)	4.98 ↓ (5.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 37.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-11)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Houston Texans
81%

Indianapolis Colts
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

81.9%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Houston Texans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Indianapolis Colts has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	0%	9.1%

Houston Texans - Indianapolis Colts Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Houston will win (votes: 10 - 90.9%). Indianapolis will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Houston: 73.9% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Houston (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Indianapolis (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 25:14

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (6 - 10)
02:55, Fairbairn K. (Field Goal),
04:24, Pierce A. (Touchdown),
04:24, Grupe B. (Extra Point),
08:24, Fairbairn K. (Field Goal),
14:26, Grupe B. (Field Goal),
2nd Quarter (17 - 7)
05:26, Higgins J. (Touchdown),
05:26, Fairbairn K. (Extra Point),
06:28, Stroud C. (Touchdown),
06:28, Fairbairn K. (Extra Point),
13:35, Pierce A. (Touchdown),
13:35, Grupe B. (Extra Point),
14:59, Fairbairn K. (Field Goal),
3rd Quarter (3 - 10)
01:55, Leonard R. (Touchdown),
01:55, Grupe B. (Extra Point),
08:02, Fairbairn K. (Field Goal),
13:13, Grupe B. (Field Goal),
4th Quarter (12 - 3)
03:40, Fairbairn K. (Field Goal),
12:18, Grupe B. (Field Goal),
14:44, Fairbairn K. (Field Goal),
14:55, Togiai T. (Touchdown),

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Houston won 4.

Houston is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Indianapolis has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Houston may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Houston is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Indianapolis: Jones J. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Indianapolis: Buckner D. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Houston won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 393:487. (average 19.7:24.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Houston won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 171:233. (average 17.1:23.3).

Outrights of NFL for now

Houston Texans: 2.04% Indianapolis Colts: 1.1%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Houston Texans
NFL
27.12.25	Los Angeles Chargers - Houston Texans	16:20 ✺
21.12.25	Houston Texans - Las Vegas Raiders	23:21 ✺
14.12.25	Houston Texans - Arizona Cardinals	40:20 ✺
07.12.25	Kansas City Chiefs - Houston Texans	10:20 ✺
30.11.25	Indianapolis Colts - Houston Texans	16:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WWWWW
- Indianapolis Colts
NFL
28.12.25	Indianapolis Colts - Jacksonville Jaguars	17:23 ✺
22.12.25	Indianapolis Colts - San Francisco 49ers	27:48 ✺
14.12.25	Seattle Seahawks - Indianapolis Colts	18:16 ✺
07.12.25	Jacksonville Jaguars - Indianapolis Colts	36:19 ✺
30.11.25	Indianapolis Colts - Houston Texans	16:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

NFL
30.11.25	Indianapolis Colts - Houston Texans	16:20
27.10.24	Houston Texans - Indianapolis Colts	23:20
08.09.24	Indianapolis Colts - Houston Texans	27:29
06.01.24	Indianapolis Colts - Houston Texans	19:23
17.09.23	Houston Texans - Indianapolis Colts	20:31
08.01.23	Indianapolis Colts - Houston Texans	31:32
11.09.22	Houston Texans - Indianapolis Colts	20:20 OT

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