The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
New England Patriots 61.4%
Houston Texans 38.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.7%
42.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.8%
44.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New England Patriots has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
Houston Texans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for New England Patriots than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with New England Patriots that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Houston Texans than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Houston Texans could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
30.8%
0%
69.2%
New England Patriots - Houston Texans Predictions
Users Predictions:
26 users predict this event. New England will win (votes: 8 - 30.8%). Houston will win (votes: 18 - 69.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Houston: 51.5% – 86.9%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +3.5, OT - Houston (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH 0, OT - New England (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 23.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Houston Texans will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. New England (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Houston (votes: 10 - 90.9%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 23:19
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Key Events of the Match
1st Quarter (7 - 3)
05:25, Douglas D. (Touchdown),
05:25, Borregales A. (Extra Point),
09:31, Fairbairn K. (Field Goal),
2nd Quarter (14 - 7)
02:09, Kirk C. (Touchdown),
02:09, Fairbairn K. (Extra Point),
04:29, Jones M. (Touchdown),
04:29, Borregales A. (Extra Point),
11:48, Diggs S. (Touchdown),
11:48, Borregales A. (Extra Point),
3rd Quarter (0 - 6)
06:12, Fairbairn K. (Field Goal),
13:23, Fairbairn K. (Field Goal),
4th Quarter (7 - 0)
02:02, Boutte K. (Touchdown),
02:02, Borregales A. (Extra Point),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New England won 1.
New England is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Houston is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
New England is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in New England: DeVito T.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in New England: Mapu M.
(Neck Injury)
Moses M.
(Foot Injury)
We predict that New England will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, New England won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 388:313. (average 27.7:22.4).
Including home matches between the teams, New England won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 237:172. (average 29.6:21.5).
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