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Current Win Probability
Illinois Fighting Illini 44.2%
Minnesota Golden Gophers 55.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.2%
46.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.9%
49.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Illinois Fighting Illini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Illinois Fighting Illini's form might have worsened.
Minnesota Golden Gophers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Minnesota Golden Gophers's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illinois Fighting Illini than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Illinois Fighting Illini, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minnesota Golden Gophers than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Minnesota Golden Gophers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Illinois Fighting Illini - Minnesota Golden Gophers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 24:24
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Key Events of the Match
1st Quarter (0 - 3)
08:39, Kesich D. (Field Goal),
2nd Quarter (10 - 10)
04:52, Olano D. (Field Goal),
08:05, Taylor D. (Touchdown),
08:05, Kesich D. (Extra Point),
11:32, McCray J. (Touchdown),
11:32, Olano D. (Extra Point),
14:41, Kesich D. (Field Goal),
3rd Quarter (0 - 3)
10:24, Kesich D. (Field Goal),
4th Quarter (7 - 9)
05:57, Franklin Z. (Touchdown),
05:57, Olano D. (Extra Point),
09:46, Geers J. (Touchdown),
13:08, Kesich D. (Field Goal),
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Illinois won 3.
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
Minnesota could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Minnesota will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 11 head-to-head matches Illinois won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 241:295 (average 21.9:26.8).
Including matches at home between the teams Illinois won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 143:167 (average 23.8:27.8).
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