Match Info

NFL - Round 6

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Lucas Oil Stadium (Indianapolis, IN)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ESPN 2
Spain	DAZN Espana
United-kingdom	DAZN
World	NFL Game Pass


	Indianapolis Colts		Arizona Cardinals

	1	2
	1.22	4.5	Watch
	1.2	4.34	Watch
	1.23	4.54
	1.12	5.83	Watch
	1.22	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 ↓ (1.48)	4.74 ↑ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 46.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-10)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Indianapolis Colts
79.8%

Arizona Cardinals
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.7%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Indianapolis Colts has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Indianapolis Colts's performance.

Arizona Cardinals has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arizona Cardinals might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Indianapolis Colts than the current prediction. (-18.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Indianapolis Colts that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arizona Cardinals than the current prediction. (+18.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arizona Cardinals could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.6%	0%	17.4%

Indianapolis Colts - Arizona Cardinals Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +7.5, OT - Arizona (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 46.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -5, OT - Indianapolis (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Indianapolis Colts will win (18 of 22 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.7% – 97.94%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Indianapolis Colts will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Indianapolis (votes: 9 - 81.8%). Arizona (votes: 2 - 18.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:18

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (7 - 7)
03:59, Warren T. (Touchdown),
03:59, Badgley M. (Extra Point),
13:20, Knight B. (Touchdown),
13:20, Ryland C. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (7 - 3)
07:09, Jones D. (Touchdown),
07:09, Badgley M. (Extra Point),
13:04, Ryland C. (Field Goal),
3rd Quarter (3 - 14)
06:21, McBride T. (Touchdown),
06:21, Ryland C. (Extra Point),
10:29, Badgley M. (Field Goal),
13:38, Dortch G. (Touchdown),
13:38, Ryland C. (Extra Point),
4th Quarter (14 - 3)
01:48, Downs J. (Touchdown),
01:48, Badgley M. (Extra Point),
05:29, Ryland C. (Field Goal),
10:28, Taylor J. (Touchdown),
10:28, Badgley M. (Extra Point),

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 and 13).

Indianapolis is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Arizona's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Arizona may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Indianapolis is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Indianapolis: Jones J. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Indianapolis: Buckner D. (Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Indianapolis won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 67:85. (average 16.8:21.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Indianapolis won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 34:29. (average 17:14.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Indianapolis Colts
NFL
05.10.25	Indianapolis Colts - Las Vegas Raiders	40:6 ✺
28.09.25	Los Angeles Rams - Indianapolis Colts	27:20 ✺
21.09.25	Tennessee Titans - Indianapolis Colts	20:41 ✺
14.09.25	Indianapolis Colts - Denver Broncos	29:28 ✺
07.09.25	Indianapolis Colts - Miami Dolphins	33:8 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLWWW
- Arizona Cardinals
NFL
05.10.25	Arizona Cardinals - Tennessee Titans	21:22 ✺
25.09.25	Arizona Cardinals - Seattle Seahawks	20:23 ✺
21.09.25	San Francisco 49ers - Arizona Cardinals	16:15 ✺
14.09.25	Arizona Cardinals - Carolina Panthers	27:22 ✺
07.09.25	New Orleans Saints - Arizona Cardinals	13:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

NFL
17.08.24	Indianapolis Colts - Arizona Cardinals	21:13
25.12.21	Arizona Cardinals - Indianapolis Colts	16:22
17.09.17	Indianapolis Colts - Arizona Cardinals	13:16 OT
24.11.13	Arizona Cardinals - Indianapolis Colts	40:11

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