Match Info

NFL - Round 14

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday

Location: EverBank Stadium (Jacksonville, FL)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	RTL
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 9
Poland	Polsat Sport Fight
Spain	DAZN Espana
United-kingdom	DAZN
World	NFL Game Pass


	Jacksonville Jaguars		Indianapolis Colts

	1	2
	2.05	1.8	Watch
	2.03	1.75	Watch
	2.11	1.84
	1.75	2.03	Watch
	2.05	1.75
	2.05	1.8
	2.05	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.31)	1.82 ↑ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 45.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jacksonville Jaguars
47.5%

Indianapolis Colts
52.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

56%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jacksonville Jaguars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jacksonville Jaguars's performance.

Indianapolis Colts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Indianapolis Colts might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jacksonville Jaguars than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Indianapolis Colts than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.5%	0%	23.5%

Jacksonville Jaguars - Indianapolis Colts Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Jacksonville will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Indianapolis will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jacksonville: 56.3% – 96.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Jacksonville (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Indianapolis (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 22:25

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (14 - 7)
04:21, Etienne T. (Touchdown),
04:21, Little C. (Extra Point),
10:28, Taylor J. (Touchdown),
10:28, Grupe B. (Extra Point),
12:33, Meyers J. (Touchdown),
12:33, Little C. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (14 - 3)
02:08, Etienne T. (Touchdown),
02:08, Little C. (Extra Point),
10:06, Grupe B. (Field Goal),
14:53, Patrick T. (Touchdown),
14:53, Little C. (Extra Point),
3rd Quarter (0 - 3)
05:03, Grupe B. (Field Goal),
4th Quarter (8 - 6)
00:55, Little C. (Field Goal),
08:03, Hines-Allen J. (Safety),
10:19, Little C. (Field Goal),
13:09, Leonard R. (Touchdown),
13:09, (2-Point Conversion Failed),

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 and 3).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jacksonville won 3.

Jacksonville is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Indianapolis has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Jacksonville has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Indianapolis: Jones J. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Indianapolis: Buckner D. (Injury)

We predict that Jacksonville will win today's game, with odds of 2.07.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jacksonville won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 517:392. (average 25.9:19.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Jacksonville won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 306:158. (average 30.6:15.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jacksonville Jaguars
NFL
30.11.25	Tennessee Titans - Jacksonville Jaguars	3:25 ✺
23.11.25	Arizona Cardinals - Jacksonville Jaguars	24:27 OT ✺
16.11.25	Jacksonville Jaguars - Los Angeles Chargers	35:6 ✺
09.11.25	Houston Texans - Jacksonville Jaguars	36:29 ✺
02.11.25	Las Vegas Raiders - Jacksonville Jaguars	29:30 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWLW
- Indianapolis Colts
NFL
30.11.25	Indianapolis Colts - Houston Texans	16:20 ✺
23.11.25	Kansas City Chiefs - Indianapolis Colts	23:20 OT ✺
09.11.25	Indianapolis Colts - Atlanta Falcons	31:25 OT ✺
02.11.25	Pittsburgh Steelers - Indianapolis Colts	27:20 ✺
26.10.25	Indianapolis Colts - Tennessee Titans	38:14 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

NFL
05.01.25	Indianapolis Colts - Jacksonville Jaguars	26:23 OT
06.10.24	Jacksonville Jaguars - Indianapolis Colts	37:34
15.10.23	Jacksonville Jaguars - Indianapolis Colts	37:20
10.09.23	Indianapolis Colts - Jacksonville Jaguars	21:31
16.10.22	Indianapolis Colts - Jacksonville Jaguars	34:27
18.09.22	Jacksonville Jaguars - Indianapolis Colts	24:0
09.01.22	Jacksonville Jaguars - Indianapolis Colts	26:11

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