Match Info
NFL - Round 5Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday ๐ Finished Location: Lucas Oil Stadium (Indianapolis, IN) ๐ค๏ธ ...Where to Watch on TV: | Country | Kick-Off | TV Channels |
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 Denmark | 19:00 | TV2 Play |
 Poland | 19:00 | Polsat Sport Fight |
 Spain | 19:00 | DAZN Espana |
 United Kingdom | 18:00 | DAZN |
 International | 17:00 | NFL Game Pass |
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Indianapolis Colts |
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Las Vegas Raiders |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 47.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)
- The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Indianapolis Colts
72.9% | Las Vegas Raiders
27.1% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Indianapolis Colts has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)Las Vegas Raiders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Indianapolis Colts than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Indianapolis Colts that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Vegas Raiders than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Las Vegas Raiders could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Indianapolis Colts - Las Vegas Raiders Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Indianapolis (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Indianapolis Colts will win
(12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% โ 100%.Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:20 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Quarter (0 - 3)
- 11:36, Carlson D. (Field Goal),
- 2nd Quarter (20 - 0)
- 03:27, Warren T. (Touchdown),
- 03:27, Shrader S. (Extra Point),
- 07:04, Taylor J. (Touchdown),
- 07:04, Shrader S. (Extra Point),
- 14:45, Pittman Jr. M. (Touchdown),
- 14:45, (2-Point Conversion Failed),
- 14:58, Carlson D. (Missed Field Goal),
- 3rd Quarter (20 - 0)
- 08:06, Taylor J. (Touchdown),
- 08:06, (2-Point Conversion Failed),
- 09:11, Abdullah A. (Touchdown),
- 09:11, (2-Point Conversion Failed),
- 12:33, Taylor J. (Touchdown),
- 12:33, Taylor J. (Two-Point Conversion),
- 4th Quarter (0 - 3)
- 03:17, Carlson D. (Field Goal),
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 and 12).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Indianapolis won 3.Indianapolis is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).Las Vegas's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1). In this match, Indianapolis is a strong favorite.There will not play in Indianapolis: Jones J.
(Hamstring Injury)There are questionable in Indianapolis: Buckner D.
(Injury)In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Indianapolis won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 224:199. (average 28:24.9).Including home matches between the teams, Indianapolis won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 88:91. (average 22:22.8).
Latest Head to Head
| NFL | | | 31.12.23 | Indianapolis Colts - Las Vegas Raiders | 23:20 | | 13.11.22 | Las Vegas Raiders - Indianapolis Colts | 20:25 | | 02.01.22 | Indianapolis Colts - Las Vegas Raiders | 20:23 | | 13.12.20 | Las Vegas Raiders - Indianapolis Colts | 27:44 | | 29.09.19 | Indianapolis Colts - Las Vegas Raiders | 24:31 | | 28.10.18 | Las Vegas Raiders - Indianapolis Colts | 28:42 | | 24.12.16 | Las Vegas Raiders - Indianapolis Colts | 33:25 |
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