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Current Win Probability
Indianapolis Colts 33.4%
Buffalo Bills 66.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.9%
63.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.2%
59.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Indianapolis Colts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
Buffalo Bills has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Indianapolis Colts than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Indianapolis Colts, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buffalo Bills than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Buffalo Bills, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Indianapolis Colts - Buffalo Bills Predictions
Users Predictions:
Buffalo Bills will win
(9 of 9 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 22:27
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Key Events of the Match
1st Quarter (3 - 10)
02:46, Johnson T. (Touchdown),
02:46, Bass T. (Extra Point),
09:27, Bass T. (Field Goal),
11:29, Gay M. (Field Goal),
2nd Quarter (10 - 10)
05:38, Goodson T. (Touchdown),
05:38, Gay M. (Extra Point),
08:28, Gay M. (Field Goal),
12:46, Allen J. (Touchdown),
12:46, Bass T. (Extra Point),
14:59, Bass T. (Field Goal),
3rd Quarter (0 - 0)
4th Quarter (7 - 10)
04:59, Bass T. (Field Goal),
12:56, Cook J. (Touchdown),
12:56, Bass T. (Extra Point),
14:58, Pierce A. (Touchdown),
14:58, Gay M. (Extra Point),
Preview
During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 8 and 2).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Indianapolis won 1.
Recent matches Indianapolis is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Buffalo is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recently Indianapolis have a series of guest games.
Buffalo will have a small advantage in this match.
Our prediction for today's Buffalo to win the game is with odds 1.49.
Last 11 head-to-head matches Indianapolis won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 241:236 (average 21.9:21.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Indianapolis won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 77:62 (average 25.7:20.7).