Match Info

USA: NCAA

Date: 18 November 2023, Saturday


	Iowa Hawkeyes		Illinois Fighting Illini

	1	2
	1.67	2.3
	1.7	2.2
	1.65	2.3	Watch
	1.67	2.31
	1.67	2.32
	1.6	2.25
	1.63	2.29
	1.62	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.51)	2.26 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 33.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Iowa Hawkeyes
57.8%

Illinois Fighting Illini
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Iowa Hawkeyes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Illinois Fighting Illini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iowa Hawkeyes than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Illinois Fighting Illini than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Iowa Hawkeyes - Illinois Fighting Illini Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 19:16

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Iowa won 4.

Iowa is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Illinois is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Iowa will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Iowa to win the game is with odds 1.65.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Iowa won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 288-113.

Including matches at home between the teams Iowa won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 126-69.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Iowa Hawkeyes football
NCAA College Football
11.11.23	Iowa Hawkeyes - Rutgers Scarlet Knights	22:0 ✺
04.11.23	Northwestern Wildcats - Iowa Hawkeyes	7:10 ✺
21.10.23	Iowa Hawkeyes - Minnesota Golden Gophers	10:12 ✺
14.10.23	Wisconsin Badgers - Iowa Hawkeyes	6:15 ✺
07.10.23	Iowa Hawkeyes - Purdue Boilermakers	20:14 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWLWW
- Illinois Fighting Illini football
NCAA College Football
11.11.23	Illinois Fighting Illini - Indiana Hoosiers	48:45 OT ✺
04.11.23	Minnesota Golden Gophers - Illinois Fighting Illini	26:27 ✺
21.10.23	Illinois Fighting Illini - Wisconsin Badgers	21:25 ✺
14.10.23	Maryland Terrapins - Illinois Fighting Illini	24:27 ✺
06.10.23	Illinois Fighting Illini - Nebraska Cornhuskers	7:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Football
08.10.22	Illinois Fighting Illini - Iowa Hawkeyes	9:6
20.11.21	Iowa Hawkeyes - Illinois Fighting Illini	33:23
05.12.20	Illinois Fighting Illini - Iowa Hawkeyes	21:35
23.11.19	Iowa Hawkeyes - Illinois Fighting Illini	19:10
17.11.18	Illinois Fighting Illini - Iowa Hawkeyes	0:63
07.10.17	Iowa Hawkeyes - Illinois Fighting Illini	45:16
19.11.16	Illinois Fighting Illini - Iowa Hawkeyes	0:28

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