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Current Win Probability
Pittsburgh Steelers 58.8%
Indianapolis Colts 41.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
55.3%
44.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.9%
47.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pittsburgh Steelers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
Indianapolis Colts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pittsburgh Steelers than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pittsburgh Steelers that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Indianapolis Colts than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Indianapolis Colts could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
72.7%
0%
27.3%
Pittsburgh Steelers - Indianapolis Colts Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Pittsburgh will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Indianapolis will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Pittsburgh: 46.4% โ 99%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +2.5, OT - Indianapolis (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Pittsburgh (votes: 1 - 50%). Indianapolis (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 24:21
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Key Events of the Match
1st Quarter (7 - 6)
06:03, Shrader S. (Field Goal),
06:15, Warren J. (Touchdown),
06:15, Boswell C. (Extra Point),
08:09, Shrader S. (Field Goal),
2nd Quarter (10 - 7)
01:43, Freiermuth P. (Touchdown),
01:43, Boswell C. (Extra Point),
07:17, Warren T. (Touchdown),
07:17, Shrader S. (Extra Point),
14:39, Boswell C. (Field Goal),
3rd Quarter (7 - 6)
04:37, Shrader S. (Field Goal),
07:54, Warren J. (Touchdown),
07:54, Boswell C. (Extra Point),
12:47, Shrader S. (Field Goal),
4th Quarter (10 - 3)
03:18, Shrader S. (Field Goal),
08:25, Freiermuth P. (Touchdown),
08:25, Boswell C. (Extra Point),
11:17, Boswell C. (Field Goal),
Preview
Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 9th and 8th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pittsburgh won 3.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Pittsburgh could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Pittsburgh holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Pittsburgh has recorded 9 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 301:229 (averaging 25.1:19.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Pittsburgh against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 192:131 goals (averaging 27.4:18.7 per game).
Outrights of NFL for now
Pittsburgh Steelers: 1.25% Indianapolis Colts: 0.27%