Match Info

USA: NFL - Round 10

Date: 10 November 2024, Sunday

Location: EverBank Stadium (Jacksonville, FL)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Hungary	Net4+
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Spain	DAZN Espana, M+ Deportes 3, M+ Deportes 7
United-kingdom	DAZN NFL
Usa	NFL Game Pass


	Jacksonville Jaguars		Minnesota Vikings

	1	2
	3.6	1.31	Watch
	3.8	1.28
	3.82	1.28	Watch
	3.64	1.32
	3.57	1.3	Watch
	3.75	1.3
	3.6	1.31
	3.82	1.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.7 ↑ (2.67)	1.3 ↓ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 42.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

Watch this match and NFL with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: FOX (KDLT-Sioux Falls-Mitchell, IA)

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Current Win Probability

Jacksonville Jaguars
26%

Minnesota Vikings
74%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

63.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

64.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jacksonville Jaguars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jacksonville Jaguars's form might have worsened.

Minnesota Vikings has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Minnesota Vikings's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jacksonville Jaguars than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jacksonville Jaguars, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minnesota Vikings than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Minnesota Vikings, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Jacksonville Jaguars - Minnesota Vikings Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Jacksonville will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Minnesota will win (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Minnesota: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 18:25

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (7 - 3)
07:04, Romo J. P. (Field Goal),
11:16, Jones M. (Touchdown),
11:16, Little C. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (0 - 0)
3rd Quarter (0 - 3)
13:18, Romo J. P. (Field Goal),
4th Quarter (0 - 6)
07:43, Romo J. P. (Field Goal),
10:34, Romo J. P. (Field Goal),

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 3).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Minnesota could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Minnesota is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Jacksonville won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 80:88 (average 20:22).

Including matches at home between the teams Jacksonville won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 19:25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jacksonville Jaguars
NFL
03.11.24	Philadelphia Eagles - Jacksonville Jaguars	28:23 ✺
27.10.24	Jacksonville Jaguars - Green Bay Packers	27:30 ✺
20.10.24	Jacksonville Jaguars - New England Patriots	32:16 ✺
13.10.24	Chicago Bears - Jacksonville Jaguars	35:16 ✺
06.10.24	Jacksonville Jaguars - Indianapolis Colts	37:34 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLWLW
- Minnesota Vikings
NFL
03.11.24	Minnesota Vikings - Indianapolis Colts	21:13 ✺
24.10.24	Los Angeles Rams - Minnesota Vikings	30:20 ✺
20.10.24	Minnesota Vikings - Detroit Lions	29:31 ✺
06.10.24	Minnesota Vikings - New York Jets	23:17 ✺
29.09.24	Green Bay Packers - Minnesota Vikings	29:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

NFL
06.12.20	Minnesota Vikings - Jacksonville Jaguars	27:24 OT
18.08.18	Minnesota Vikings - Jacksonville Jaguars	10:14
11.12.16	Jacksonville Jaguars - Minnesota Vikings	19:25
09.09.12	Minnesota Vikings - Jacksonville Jaguars	26:23 OT

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