Match Info

NCAA - Bowl

Date: 16 December 2025, Tuesday


	Jacksonville State Gamecocks		Troy Trojans

	1	2
	1.61	2.4
	1.58	2.32
	1.68	2.29
	1.61	2.33	Watch
	1.57	2.38
	2.05	1.8
	1.55	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (2.42)	2.27 ↑ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 48.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jacksonville State Gamecocks
57.7%

Troy Trojans
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

61%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

58.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jacksonville State Gamecocks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jacksonville State Gamecocks's performance.

Troy Trojans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Troy Trojans might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jacksonville State Gamecocks than the current prediction. (-16.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jacksonville State Gamecocks that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Troy Trojans than the current prediction. (+16.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Troy Trojans could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Jacksonville State Gamecocks - Troy Trojans Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Jacksonville State will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Troy will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3.5, OT - Troy (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jacksonville State Gamecocks will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Jacksonville State (votes: 3 - 75%). Troy (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 23:25

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (7 - 7)
01:38, Rechsteiner B. (Touchdown),
01:38, Rippa G. (Extra Point),
13:21, Medina L. (Touchdown),
13:21, Renfroe S. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (0 - 6)
04:03, Renfroe S. (Field Goal),
13:05, Renfroe S. (Field Goal),
3rd Quarter (3 - 0)
08:21, Rippa G. (Field Goal),
4th Quarter (7 - 0)
04:54, Paul A. (Touchdown),
04:54, Rippa G. (Extra Point),

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jacksonville State Gamecocks football
NCAA College Football
05.12.25	Jacksonville State Gamecocks - Kennesaw State Owls	15:19 ✺
29.11.25	Jacksonville State Gamecocks - Western Kentucky Hilltoppers	37:34 ✺
22.11.25	Florida International Golden Panthers - Jacksonville State Gamecocks	27:21 ✺
15.11.25	Jacksonville State Gamecocks - Kennesaw State Owls	35:26 ✺
08.11.25	UTEP Miners - Jacksonville State Gamecocks	27:30 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWLWW
- Troy Trojans football
NCAA College Football
05.12.25	James Madison Dukes - Troy Trojans	31:14 ✺
29.11.25	Southern Miss Golden Eagles - Troy Trojans	18:28 ✺
22.11.25	Troy Trojans - Georgia State Panthers	31:19 ✺
13.11.25	Old Dominion Monarchs - Troy Trojans	33:0 ✺
01.11.25	Troy Trojans - Arkansas State Red Wolves	10:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWWLL

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