Match Info

USA: NCAA

Date: 30 November 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Hungary	Net4+


	Kentucky Wildcats		Louisville Cardinals

	1	2
	2.6	1.53
	2.55	1.53
	2.6	1.52
	2.69	1.51
	2.57	1.49	Watch
	2.5	1.5
	2.6	1.53
	2.6	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.08)	1.52 ↓ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 49.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Network on TV: SEC Network (Local)

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Current Win Probability

Kentucky Wildcats
36.9%

Louisville Cardinals
63.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

54.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

52.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kentucky Wildcats has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kentucky Wildcats's form might have worsened.

Louisville Cardinals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Louisville Cardinals's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kentucky Wildcats than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kentucky Wildcats, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Louisville Cardinals than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Louisville Cardinals, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Kentucky Wildcats - Louisville Cardinals Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 23:28

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (0 - 7)
07:53, Brown I. (Touchdown),
07:53, Travelstead B. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (0 - 13)
02:00, Travelstead B. (Field Goal),
03:44, Watson D. (Touchdown),
03:44, Travelstead B. (Extra Point),
10:15, Travelstead B. (Field Goal),
3rd Quarter (7 - 14)
06:38, Maclin J. (Touchdown),
06:38, Raynor A. (Extra Point),
10:01, Puryear R. (Touchdown),
10:01, Travelstead B. (Extra Point),
14:47, Watson D. (Touchdown),
14:47, Travelstead B. (Extra Point),
4th Quarter (7 - 7)
05:11, Maclin J. (Touchdown),
05:11, Raynor A. (Extra Point),
05:59, Brown I. (Touchdown),
05:59, Travelstead B. (Extra Point),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kentucky won 5.

Kentucky is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Louisville is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Louisville will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Kentucky won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 366:311 (average 33.3:28.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Kentucky won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 125:135 (average 25:27).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kentucky Wildcats football
NCAA College Football
23.11.24	Texas Longhorns - Kentucky Wildcats	31:14 ✺
16.11.24	Kentucky Wildcats - Murray State Racers	48:6 ✺
02.11.24	Tennessee Volunteers - Kentucky Wildcats	28:18 ✺
26.10.24	Kentucky Wildcats - Auburn Tigers	10:24 ✺
19.10.24	Florida Gators - Kentucky Wildcats	48:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LWLLL
- Louisville Cardinals football
NCAA College Football
23.11.24	Louisville Cardinals - Pittsburgh Panthers	37:9 ✺
16.11.24	Stanford Cardinal - Louisville Cardinals	38:35 ✺
02.11.24	Clemson Tigers - Louisville Cardinals	21:33 ✺
25.10.24	Boston College Eagles - Louisville Cardinals	27:31 ✺
19.10.24	Louisville Cardinals - Miami FL Hurricanes	45:52 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Football
25.11.23	Louisville Cardinals - Kentucky Wildcats	31:38
26.11.22	Kentucky Wildcats - Louisville Cardinals	26:13
27.11.21	Louisville Cardinals - Kentucky Wildcats	21:52
30.11.19	Kentucky Wildcats - Louisville Cardinals	45:13
24.11.18	Louisville Cardinals - Kentucky Wildcats	10:56
25.11.17	Kentucky Wildcats - Louisville Cardinals	17:44
26.11.16	Louisville Cardinals - Kentucky Wildcats	38:41

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