Match Info

USA: NFL - Round 15

Date: 16 December 2024, Monday

Location: Allegiant Stadium (Paradise, NV)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Australia	ESPN
Brazil	Disney+, ESPN 3
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Hungary	Match 4, Net4+
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Play
United-kingdom	DAZN NFL
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	NFL Game Pass
Venezuela	Disney+


	Las Vegas Raiders		Atlanta Falcons

	1	2
	3.35	1.34	Watch
	3.25	1.36
	3.37	1.34	Watch
	3.36	1.38
	3.31	1.34	Watch
	3.4	1.36
	3.3	1.36
	3.37	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↑ (2.87)	1.35 ↓ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 44.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

Watch this match and NFL with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: ESPN Deportes

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Current Win Probability

Las Vegas Raiders
28.8%

Atlanta Falcons
71.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

66.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

65.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Las Vegas Raiders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Atlanta Falcons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Vegas Raiders than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Las Vegas Raiders, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlanta Falcons than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlanta Falcons, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.1%	0%	92.9%

Las Vegas Raiders - Atlanta Falcons Predictions

Users Predictions: Atlanta Falcons will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 19:25

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (0 - 7)
14:46, London D. (Touchdown),
14:46, McCullough L. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (3 - 2)
03:11, Carlson D. (Field Goal),
09:21, Harrison Z. (Safety),
3rd Quarter (0 - 3)
05:31, Koo Y. (Field Goal),
4th Quarter (6 - 3)
01:29, Koo Y. (Field Goal),
09:29, Koo Y. (Missed Field Goal),
12:06, Abdullah A. (Touchdown),
12:06, Carlson D. (Missed Extra Point),

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 and 10).

Las Vegas has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Atlanta is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Las Vegas have a series of guest games.

In this match Atlanta is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Las Vegas won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 54:101 (average 18:33.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Las Vegas won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 28:35

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Las Vegas Raiders
NFL
08.12.24	Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Las Vegas Raiders	28:13 ✺
29.11.24	Kansas City Chiefs - Las Vegas Raiders	19:17 ✺
24.11.24	Las Vegas Raiders - Denver Broncos	19:29 ✺
17.11.24	Miami Dolphins - Las Vegas Raiders	34:19 ✺
03.11.24	Cincinnati Bengals - Las Vegas Raiders	41:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Atlanta Falcons
NFL
08.12.24	Minnesota Vikings - Atlanta Falcons	42:21 ✺
01.12.24	Atlanta Falcons - Los Angeles Chargers	13:17 ✺
17.11.24	Denver Broncos - Atlanta Falcons	38:6 ✺
10.11.24	New Orleans Saints - Atlanta Falcons	20:17 ✺
03.11.24	Atlanta Falcons - Dallas Cowboys	27:21 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

NFL
29.11.20	Atlanta Falcons - Las Vegas Raiders	43:6
18.09.16	Las Vegas Raiders - Atlanta Falcons	28:35
14.10.12	Atlanta Falcons - Las Vegas Raiders	23:20

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