Match Info

USA: NFL - Round 11

Date: 17 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Empower Field at Mile High (Denver, CO)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Hungary	Net4+
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Peru	Fox Sports 2
Spain	DAZN Espana
United-kingdom	DAZN NFL
Usa	NFL Game Pass


	Denver Broncos		Atlanta Falcons

	1	2
	1.77	2.1
	1.78	2.1
	1.8	2.06	Watch
	1.78	2.19
	1.75	2.08	Watch
	1.77	2.1
	1.77	2.1
	1.8	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.95)	2.1 ↑ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 44.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

Watch this match and NFL with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: FOX

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Current Win Probability

Denver Broncos
54.1%

Atlanta Falcons
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49%

51%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denver Broncos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Denver Broncos's performance.

Atlanta Falcons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlanta Falcons might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Denver Broncos than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta Falcons than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	0%	30%

Denver Broncos - Atlanta Falcons Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Denver will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Atlanta will win (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Denver: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 23:21

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (7 - 3)
04:29, Adkins N. (Touchdown),
04:29, Lutz W. (Extra Point),
13:23, Koo Y. (Field Goal),
2nd Quarter (14 - 3)
08:45, Williams J. (Touchdown),
08:45, Lutz W. (Extra Point),
12:07, Koo Y. (Field Goal),
14:35, Mims M. (Touchdown),
14:35, Lutz W. (Extra Point),
3rd Quarter (7 - 0)
05:55, Franklin T. (Touchdown),
05:55, Lutz W. (Extra Point),
4th Quarter (10 - 0)
01:48, Lutz W. (Field Goal),
05:57, Humphrey L. (Touchdown),
05:57, Lutz W. (Extra Point),

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 7 and 7).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Denver won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 78:94 (average 19.5:23.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Denver won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16:23

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Denver Broncos
NFL
10.11.24	Kansas City Chiefs - Denver Broncos	16:14 ✺
03.11.24	Baltimore Ravens - Denver Broncos	41:10 ✺
27.10.24	Denver Broncos - Carolina Panthers	28:14 ✺
17.10.24	New Orleans Saints - Denver Broncos	10:33 ✺
13.10.24	Denver Broncos - Los Angeles Chargers	16:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLWWL
- Atlanta Falcons
NFL
10.11.24	New Orleans Saints - Atlanta Falcons	20:17 ✺
03.11.24	Atlanta Falcons - Dallas Cowboys	27:21 ✺
27.10.24	Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Atlanta Falcons	26:31 ✺
20.10.24	Atlanta Falcons - Seattle Seahawks	14:34 ✺
13.10.24	Carolina Panthers - Atlanta Falcons	20:38 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

NFL
08.11.20	Atlanta Falcons - Denver Broncos	34:27
01.08.19	Atlanta Falcons - Denver Broncos	10:14
09.10.16	Denver Broncos - Atlanta Falcons	16:23
17.09.12	Atlanta Falcons - Denver Broncos	27:21

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