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Current Win Probability
Las Vegas Raiders 53.9%
Washington Commanders 46.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.8%
45.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.4%
49.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Las Vegas Raiders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
Washington Commanders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Las Vegas Raiders than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Washington Commanders than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
35%
0%
65%
Las Vegas Raiders - Washington Commanders Predictions
Users Predictions:
40 users predict this event. Las Vegas will win (votes: 14 - 35%). Washington will win (votes: 26 - 65%). Confidence interval (95%) for Washington: 50.2% – 79.8%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 25:23
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Preview
Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 9 and 8).
Washington has currently - 5-6, has a chance of playoffs (32%), has a small chance of win division (11%), has a very small chance of 1st-round bye (<0.1%).
Las Vegas has currently - 6-5, has a chance of playoffs (20%), has a very small chance of win division (5%), has a very small chance of 1st-round bye (0.3%).
Both teams have a series of defeats in the last matches.
Las Vegas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently opponents have a series of guest games.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Washington won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 24-51.
Including matches at home between the teams Washington won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14-24.
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