Match Info

USA: NFL - Round 11

Date: 17 November 2024, Sunday

Location: SoFi Stadium (Inglewood, CA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ESPN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	ESPN 2
Canada	TSN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 1
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2, Voyo
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 9
Hungary	Arena 4, Net4+
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-africa	SuperSport ESPN
Spain	DAZN Espana
United-kingdom	DAZN NFL, Sky Sports Main Event
Usa	NFL Game Pass


	Los Angeles Chargers		Cincinnati Bengals

	1	2
	1.87	1.95	Watch
	1.87	1.95
	1.88	1.96	Watch
	1.88	2.02
	1.83	1.98	Watch
	1.87	1.95
	1.87	1.95
	1.88	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.83)	1.97 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 48.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

Watch this match and NFL with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: NBC Universo

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Current Win Probability

Los Angeles Chargers
51.3%

Cincinnati Bengals
48.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.4%

47.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

49.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Los Angeles Chargers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Cincinnati Bengals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Angeles Chargers than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati Bengals than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.3%	0%	46.7%

Los Angeles Chargers - Cincinnati Bengals Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. LA Chargers will win (votes: 7 - 50%). Cincinnati will win (votes: 7 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for LA Chargers: 23.8% – 76.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 25:25

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (7 - 3)
08:29, McPherson E. (Field Goal),
11:26, Dissly W. (Touchdown),
11:26, Dicker C. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (17 - 3)
02:03, McPherson E. (Field Goal),
03:58, Johnston Q. (Touchdown),
03:58, Dicker C. (Extra Point),
10:25, Dobbins J. (Touchdown),
10:25, Dicker C. (Extra Point),
14:56, Dicker C. (Field Goal),
3rd Quarter (3 - 14)
04:26, Dicker C. (Field Goal),
09:29, Chase J. (Touchdown),
09:33, McPherson E. (Extra Point),
12:01, Higgins T. (Touchdown),
12:07, McPherson E. (Extra Point),
4th Quarter (7 - 7)
02:32, Chase J. (Touchdown),
02:39, McPherson E. (Extra Point),
14:34, Dobbins J. (Touchdown),
14:42, Dicker C. (Extra Point),

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 5 and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches LA Chargers won 4.

LA Chargers is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Cincinnati is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cincinnati could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches LA Chargers won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 152:127 (average 21.7:18.1).

Including matches at home between the teams LA Chargers won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 49:58 (average 16.3:19.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Los Angeles Chargers
NFL
10.11.24	Los Angeles Chargers - Tennessee Titans	27:17 ✺
03.11.24	Cleveland Browns - Los Angeles Chargers	10:27 ✺
27.10.24	Los Angeles Chargers - New Orleans Saints	26:8 ✺
21.10.24	Arizona Cardinals - Los Angeles Chargers	17:15 ✺
13.10.24	Denver Broncos - Los Angeles Chargers	16:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWLW
- Cincinnati Bengals
NFL
07.11.24	Baltimore Ravens - Cincinnati Bengals	35:34 ✺
03.11.24	Cincinnati Bengals - Las Vegas Raiders	41:24 ✺
27.10.24	Cincinnati Bengals - Philadelphia Eagles	17:37 ✺
20.10.24	Cleveland Browns - Cincinnati Bengals	14:21 ✺
13.10.24	New York Giants - Cincinnati Bengals	7:17 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

NFL
05.12.21	Cincinnati Bengals - Los Angeles Chargers	22:41
13.09.20	Cincinnati Bengals - Los Angeles Chargers	13:16
09.12.18	Los Angeles Chargers - Cincinnati Bengals	26:21
20.09.15	Cincinnati Bengals - Los Angeles Chargers	24:19
05.01.14	Cincinnati Bengals - Los Angeles Chargers	10:27
01.12.13	Los Angeles Chargers - Cincinnati Bengals	10:17
02.12.12	Los Angeles Chargers - Cincinnati Bengals	13:20

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