Match Info

USA: NFL - ROUND 6

Date: 16 October 2023, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ESPN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Brazil	ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Sport
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
France	beIN Sports
Hungary	Arena 4
Netherlands	ESPN
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport


	Los Angeles Chargers		Dallas Cowboys

	1	2
	2	1.83	Watch
	2	1.83
	2.01	1.84	Watch
	2	1.83
	2.12	1.8
	2	1.83
	1.97	1.86
	1.93	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.08)	1.82 ↑ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 50.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Los Angeles Chargers
47.6%

Dallas Cowboys
52.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

54%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

53.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Los Angeles Chargers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Dallas Cowboys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Angeles Chargers than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dallas Cowboys than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	0%	55.6%

Los Angeles Chargers - Dallas Cowboys Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. LA Chargers will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%). Dallas will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dallas: 32.6% – 78.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 26:26

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 9 and 4).

Last 5 head-to-head matches LA Chargers won 3.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

LA Chargers could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 6 head-to-head matches LA Chargers won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 137-93.

Including matches at home between the teams LA Chargers won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 109-87.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Los Angeles Chargers
NFL
01.10.23	Los Angeles Chargers - Las Vegas Raiders	24:17 ✺
24.09.23	Minnesota Vikings - Los Angeles Chargers	24:28 ✺
17.09.23	Tennessee Titans - Los Angeles Chargers	27:24 OT ✺
10.09.23	Los Angeles Chargers - Miami Dolphins	34:36 ✺
25.08.23	San Francisco 49ers - Los Angeles Chargers	12:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWLLW
- Dallas Cowboys
NFL
08.10.23	San Francisco 49ers - Dallas Cowboys	42:10 ✺
01.10.23	Dallas Cowboys - New England Patriots	38:3 ✺
24.09.23	Arizona Cardinals - Dallas Cowboys	28:16 ✺
17.09.23	Dallas Cowboys - New York Jets	30:10 ✺
10.09.23	New York Giants - Dallas Cowboys	0:40 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

NFL
20.08.22	Los Angeles Chargers - Dallas Cowboys	18:32
19.09.21	Los Angeles Chargers - Dallas Cowboys	17:20
23.11.17	Dallas Cowboys - Los Angeles Chargers	6:28
13.08.15	Los Angeles Chargers - Dallas Cowboys	17:7
07.08.14	Los Angeles Chargers - Dallas Cowboys	27:7
29.09.13	Los Angeles Chargers - Dallas Cowboys	30:21
18.08.12	Los Angeles Chargers - Dallas Cowboys	N/A

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