Match Info

USA: NCAA

Date: 25 November 2023, Saturday


	Marshall Thundering Herd		Arkansas State Red Wolves

	1	2
	1.8	2.05
	1.76	2.1
	1.8	2.05
	1.89	2
	1.89	2
	1.73	2
	1.87	1.94
	1.74	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.75)	2.01 ↓ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 52.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marshall Thundering Herd
52.6%

Arkansas State Red Wolves
47.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9%

48.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marshall Thundering Herd has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Arkansas State Red Wolves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marshall Thundering Herd than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arkansas State Red Wolves than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Marshall Thundering Herd - Arkansas State Red Wolves Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 27:25

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Preview

Marshall is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Arkansas State is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marshall Thundering Herd football
NCAA College Football
18.11.23	South Alabama Jaguars - Marshall Thundering Herd	28:0 ✺
11.11.23	Marshall Thundering Herd - Georgia Southern Eagles	38:33 ✺
04.11.23	Appalachian State Mountaineers - Marshall Thundering Herd	31:9 ✺
28.10.23	Coastal Carolina Chanticleers - Marshall Thundering Herd	34:6 ✺
19.10.23	Marshall Thundering Herd - James Madison Dukes	9:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWLLL
- Arkansas State Red Wolves football
NCAA College Football
18.11.23	Arkansas State Red Wolves - Texas State Bobcats	77:31 ✺
11.11.23	South Alabama Jaguars - Arkansas State Red Wolves	21:14 ✺
04.11.23	Arkansas State Red Wolves - Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin` Cajuns	37:17 ✺
28.10.23	Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks - Arkansas State Red Wolves	24:34 ✺
21.10.23	Arkansas State Red Wolves - Coastal Carolina Chanticleers	17:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WLWWL

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