Match Info

NCAA

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday


	Michigan State Spartans		Michigan Wolverines

	1	2
	5	1.18
	4.87	1.17
	5.36	1.16
	4.33	1.19	Watch
	3.25	1.33
	4.94	1.15	Watch
	4.32	1.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.58 ↑ (3.2)	1.2 ↓ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 48.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-14)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michigan State Spartans
20.8%

Michigan Wolverines
79.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.9%

71.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.4%

74.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michigan State Spartans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Michigan State Spartans's form might have worsened.

Michigan Wolverines has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Michigan Wolverines's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michigan State Spartans than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michigan Wolverines than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Michigan State Spartans - Michigan Wolverines Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 17:31

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (0 - 10)
04:53, Zvada D. (Field Goal),
11:02, Underwood B. (Touchdown),
11:02, Zvada D. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (7 - 0)
06:36, Chiles A. (Touchdown),
06:36, Connington M. (Extra Point),
3rd Quarter (0 - 14)
03:10, Haynes J. (Touchdown),
03:10, Zvada D. (Extra Point),
11:52, Haynes J. (Touchdown),
11:52, Zvada D. (Extra Point),
4th Quarter (13 - 7)
02:26, Tullis B. (Touchdown),
12:12, Marshall J. (Touchdown),
12:12, Zvada D. (Extra Point),
14:53, Masunas M. (Touchdown),
14:53, Connington M. (Extra Point),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Michigan State won 2.

Michigan State has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Michigan is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Michigan is considered a favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Michigan State won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 243:318. (average 17.4:22.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Michigan State won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 131:152. (average 18.7:21.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michigan State Spartans football
NCAA College Football
18.10.25	Indiana Hoosiers - Michigan State Spartans	38:13 ✺
11.10.25	Michigan State Spartans - UCLA Bruins	13:38 ✺
04.10.25	Nebraska Cornhuskers - Michigan State Spartans	38:27 ✺
20.09.25	USC Trojans - Michigan State Spartans	45:31 ✺
13.09.25	Michigan State Spartans - Youngstown State Penguins	41:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLLLW
- Michigan Wolverines football
NCAA College Football
18.10.25	Michigan Wolverines - Washington Huskies	24:7 ✺
11.10.25	USC Trojans - Michigan Wolverines	31:13 ✺
04.10.25	Michigan Wolverines - Wisconsin Badgers	24:10 ✺
20.09.25	Nebraska Cornhuskers - Michigan Wolverines	27:30 ✺
13.09.25	Michigan Wolverines - Central Michigan Chippewas	63:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Football
26.10.24	Michigan Wolverines - Michigan State Spartans	24:17
21.10.23	Michigan State Spartans - Michigan Wolverines	0:49
29.10.22	Michigan Wolverines - Michigan State Spartans	29:7
30.10.21	Michigan State Spartans - Michigan Wolverines	37:33
31.10.20	Michigan Wolverines - Michigan State Spartans	24:27
16.11.19	Michigan Wolverines - Michigan State Spartans	44:10
20.10.18	Michigan State Spartans - Michigan Wolverines	7:21

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