Match Info

USA: NCAA

Date: 2 November 2024, Saturday


	Michigan Wolverines		Oregon Ducks

	1	2
	6	1.14
	6	1.14
	6.35	1.11
	5.9	1.14
	5.65	1.14	Watch
	6	1.11
	6	1.14
	6.35	1.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.03 ↑ (3)	1.13 ↓ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 45.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-15)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michigan Wolverines
15.8%

Oregon Ducks
84.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

67.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

62.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michigan Wolverines has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Michigan Wolverines's form might have worsened.

Oregon Ducks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Oregon Ducks's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michigan Wolverines than the current prediction. (+21.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Michigan Wolverines, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oregon Ducks than the current prediction. (-21.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oregon Ducks, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Michigan Wolverines - Oregon Ducks Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 16:31

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (7 - 7)
08:07, Stewart E. (Touchdown),
08:07, Sappington A. (Extra Point),
13:29, Morris T. (Touchdown),
13:29, Zvada D. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (3 - 21)
00:30, Whittington N. (Touchdown),
00:30, Sappington A. (Extra Point),
10:41, Whittington N. (Touchdown),
10:41, Boyle A. (Extra Point),
13:09, Zvada D. (Field Goal),
14:25, Gabriel D. (Touchdown),
14:25, Boyle A. (Extra Point),
3rd Quarter (7 - 3)
07:51, O'Leary P. (Touchdown),
07:51, Zvada D. (Extra Point),
14:24, Sappington A. (Field Goal),
4th Quarter (0 - 7)
14:35, James J. (Touchdown),
14:35, Sappington A. (Extra Point),

Preview

Recent matches Michigan is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Oregon is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Michigan could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Oregon is indisputable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michigan Wolverines football
NCAA College Football
26.10.24	Michigan Wolverines - Michigan State Spartans	24:17 ✺
19.10.24	Illinois Fighting Illini - Michigan Wolverines	21:7 ✺
05.10.24	Washington Huskies - Michigan Wolverines	27:17 ✺
28.09.24	Michigan Wolverines - Minnesota Golden Gophers	27:24 ✺
21.09.24	Michigan Wolverines - USC Trojans	27:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLLWW
- Oregon Ducks football
NCAA College Football
26.10.24	Oregon Ducks - Illinois Fighting Illini	38:9 ✺
18.10.24	Purdue Boilermakers - Oregon Ducks	0:35 ✺
12.10.24	Oregon Ducks - Ohio State Buckeyes	32:31 ✺
04.10.24	Oregon Ducks - Michigan State Spartans	31:10 ✺
28.09.24	UCLA Bruins - Oregon Ducks	13:34 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWWWW

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