Match Info

NFL - Round 11

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday

Location: U.S. Bank Stadium (Minneapolis, MN)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Spain	DAZN Espana
United-kingdom	DAZN, DAZN UK, Sky Sports+
World	NFL Game Pass


	Minnesota Vikings		Chicago Bears

	1	2
	1.65	2.3	Watch
	1.63	2.23	Watch
	1.68	2.31
	1.75	2.03	Watch
	1.65	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.63)	2.23 ↓ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 48.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Minnesota Vikings
57.2%

Chicago Bears
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

46%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Minnesota Vikings has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Chicago Bears has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minnesota Vikings than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago Bears than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81%	0%	19%

Minnesota Vikings - Chicago Bears Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Minnesota (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Chicago (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Users Predictions: Minnesota Vikings will win (17 of 21 users predict this - 80.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.15% – 97.75%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 26:23

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (3 - 0)
12:50, Reichard W. (Field Goal),
2nd Quarter (0 - 10)
10:05, Monangai K. (Touchdown),
10:05, Santos C. (Extra Point),
13:00, Santos C. (Field Goal),
3rd Quarter (0 - 6)
04:29, Santos C. (Field Goal),
12:49, Santos C. (Field Goal),
4th Quarter (14 - 3)
02:27, Ponchez-Mason J. (Touchdown),
02:27, Reichard W. (Extra Point),
06:47, Santos C. (Missed Field Goal),
14:10, Addison J. (Touchdown),
14:10, Reichard W. (Extra Point),
14:56, Santos C. (Field Goal),

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Minnesota won 4.

Minnesota has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Chicago is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Minnesota is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Minnesota won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 452:355. (average 22.6:17.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Minnesota won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 255:178. (average 25.5:17.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Minnesota Vikings
NFL
09.11.25	Minnesota Vikings - Baltimore Ravens	19:27 ✺
02.11.25	Detroit Lions - Minnesota Vikings	24:27 ✺
23.10.25	Los Angeles Chargers - Minnesota Vikings	37:10 ✺
19.10.25	Minnesota Vikings - Philadelphia Eagles	22:28 ✺
05.10.25	Cleveland Browns - Minnesota Vikings	17:21 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWLLW
- Chicago Bears
NFL
09.11.25	Chicago Bears - New York Giants	24:20 ✺
02.11.25	Cincinnati Bengals - Chicago Bears	42:47 ✺
26.10.25	Baltimore Ravens - Chicago Bears	30:16 ✺
19.10.25	Chicago Bears - New Orleans Saints	26:14 ✺
13.10.25	Washington Commanders - Chicago Bears	24:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

NFL
08.09.25	Chicago Bears - Minnesota Vikings	24:27
16.12.24	Minnesota Vikings - Chicago Bears	30:12
24.11.24	Chicago Bears - Minnesota Vikings	27:30 OT
27.11.23	Minnesota Vikings - Chicago Bears	10:12
15.10.23	Chicago Bears - Minnesota Vikings	13:19
08.01.23	Chicago Bears - Minnesota Vikings	13:29
09.10.22	Minnesota Vikings - Chicago Bears	29:22

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