The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chicago Bears 66.6%
New Orleans Saints 33.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
69.6%
30.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
67.5%
32.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chicago Bears has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
New Orleans Saints has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago Bears than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for New Orleans Saints than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60%
0%
40%
Chicago Bears - New Orleans Saints Predictions
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Chicago will win (votes: 9 - 60%). New Orleans will win (votes: 6 - 40%). Confidence interval (95%) for Chicago: 35.2% – 84.8%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Chicago (votes: 2 - 40%). New Orleans (votes: 3 - 60%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -3.5, OT - Chicago (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS, 1Q - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Chicago (votes: 3 - 50%). New Orleans (votes: 3 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 24:20
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Key Events of the Match
1st Quarter (3 - 0)
05:26, Moody J. (Field Goal),
12:00, Grupe B. (Missed Field Goal),
2nd Quarter (17 - 7)
00:54, Moody J. (Field Goal),
05:55, Swift D. (Touchdown),
05:55, Moody J. (Extra Point),
12:09, Monangai K. (Touchdown),
12:09, Moody J. (Extra Point),
14:38, Olave C. (Touchdown),
14:38, Grupe B. (Extra Point),
3rd Quarter (3 - 7)
05:20, Olave C. (Touchdown),
05:20, Grupe B. (Extra Point),
10:53, Moody J. (Field Goal),
4th Quarter (3 - 0)
08:38, Moody J. (Field Goal),
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 16).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 0.
Chicago has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
New Orleans is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
New Orleans may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Chicago will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 119:184. (average 17:26.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Chicago won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 81:119. (average 20.3:29.8).