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Current Win Probability
Washington Commanders 67.3%
Chicago Bears 32.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
66.1%
33.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.9%
37.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Washington Commanders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
Chicago Bears has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Washington Commanders than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago Bears than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
45%
0%
55%
Washington Commanders - Chicago Bears Predictions
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Washington will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%). Chicago will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for Chicago: 32.6% – 78.6%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Chicago (votes: 2 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 49.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH -4.5, OT - Washington (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH +8, OT - Chicago (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
H/A, 3Q - Washington (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 9.5, 1Q - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Washington (votes: 2 - 40%). Chicago (votes: 3 - 60%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:22
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Key Events of the Match
1st Quarter (0 - 6)
04:19, Moody J. (Field Goal),
12:33, Moody J. (Field Goal),
2nd Quarter (7 - 7)
00:42, Williams C. (Touchdown),
00:42, Moody J. (Extra Point),
05:32, Moore C. (Touchdown),
05:32, Gay M. (Extra Point),
3rd Quarter (10 - 3)
03:01, Gay M. (Field Goal),
06:55, Moody J. (Field Goal),
12:04, McCaffrey L. (Touchdown),
12:04, Gay M. (Extra Point),
4th Quarter (7 - 9)
03:33, Ertz Z. (Touchdown),
03:33, Gay M. (Extra Point),
04:34, Swift D. (Touchdown),
04:34, (2-Point Conversion Failed),
14:59, Moody J. (Field Goal),
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Washington won 3.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Chicago may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Washington is the team to beat.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Washington won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 175:176. (average 21.9:22).
Including home matches between the teams, Washington won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 98:127. (average 24.5:31.8).
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