Match Info

Date: 9 October 2022, Sunday

Location: Caesars Superdome (New Orleans)


	New Orleans Saints		Seattle Seahawks

	1	2
	1.42	2.95
	1.45	2.8
	1.45	2.93
	1.44	2.85
	1.44	3.01
	1.43	2.95	Watch
	1.44	2.85
	1.38	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.37)	2.89 ↓ (3.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 45.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Network on TV: FOX (KTVU - San Francisco, CA)

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Current Win Probability

New Orleans Saints
66.9%

Seattle Seahawks
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.4%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.9%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New Orleans Saints has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Seattle Seahawks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for New Orleans Saints than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seattle Seahawks than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	0%	21.4%

New Orleans Saints - Seattle Seahawks Predictions

Users Predictions: New Orleans Saints will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 26:20

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 11).

New Orleans has currently - 1-3, has a small chance of playoffs (15%), has a small chance of win division (7%), has a very small chance of 1st-round bye (0.2%), has a very small chance of win league (0.4%).

Seattle has currently - 2-2, has a chance of playoffs (22%), has a small chance of win division (8%), has a very small chance of 1st-round bye (0.4%), has a very small chance of win league (0.3%).

This event has small quality 15, importance 49, match rating 32. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

The game of competitors is shaky now.

New Orleans will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches New Orleans won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 93-114.

Including matches at home between the teams New Orleans won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 25-20.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New Orleans Saints
NFL
02.10.22	New Orleans Saints - Minnesota Vikings	25:28 ✺
25.09.22	Carolina Panthers - New Orleans Saints	22:14 ✺
18.09.22	New Orleans Saints - Tampa Bay Buccaneers	10:20 ✺
11.09.22	Atlanta Falcons - New Orleans Saints	26:27 ✺
26.08.22	New Orleans Saints - Los Angeles Chargers	27:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLLWW
- Seattle Seahawks
NFL
02.10.22	Detroit Lions - Seattle Seahawks	45:48 ✺
25.09.22	Seattle Seahawks - Atlanta Falcons	23:27 ✺
18.09.22	San Francisco 49ers - Seattle Seahawks	27:7 ✺
12.09.22	Seattle Seahawks - Denver Broncos	17:16 ✺
26.08.22	Dallas Cowboys - Seattle Seahawks	27:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

NFL
25.10.21	Seattle Seahawks - New Orleans Saints	10:13
22.09.19	Seattle Seahawks - New Orleans Saints	27:33
30.10.16	New Orleans Saints - Seattle Seahawks	25:20
11.01.14	Seattle Seahawks - New Orleans Saints	23:15
02.12.13	Seattle Seahawks - New Orleans Saints	34:7

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