The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
North Carolina Tar Heels 31.4%
Duke Blue Devils 68.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.4%
52.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.9%
52.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
North Carolina Tar Heels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that North Carolina Tar Heels's form might have worsened.
Duke Blue Devils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Duke Blue Devils's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Carolina Tar Heels than the current prediction. (+16.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for North Carolina Tar Heels, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Duke Blue Devils than the current prediction. (-16.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Duke Blue Devils, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
North Carolina Tar Heels - Duke Blue Devils Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Duke (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 23:30
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Key Events of the Match
1st Quarter (7 - 7)
07:03, Lopez G. (Touchdown),
07:03, Verhoff R. (Extra Point),
12:01, Castle A. (Touchdown),
12:01, Pelino T. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (3 - 10)
04:35, Hasley J. (Touchdown),
04:35, Pelino T. (Extra Point),
12:27, Pelino T. (Field Goal),
14:53, Verhoff R. (Field Goal),
3rd Quarter (8 - 7)
05:45, Castle A. (Touchdown),
05:45, Pelino T. (Extra Point),
10:08, Shipp J. (Touchdown),
10:08, Shipp J. (Two-Point Conversion),
4th Quarter (7 - 8)
01:47, Gause D. (Touchdown),
01:47, Verhoff R. (Extra Point),
12:42, Castle A. (Touchdown),
12:42, Sheppard N. (Two-Point Conversion),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, North Carolina won 4.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
In this match, Duke is considered a favorite.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, North Carolina won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 464:357. (average 33.1:25.5).
Including home matches between the teams, North Carolina won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 213:154. (average 30.4:22).
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