Match Info

USA: NCAA - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 9 January 2025, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	ESPN 2
Czech-republic	Sport 2
Hungary	Arena 4, Net4+
Portugal	DAZN 1


	Penn State Nittany Lions		Notre Dame Fighting Irish

	1	2
	1.95	1.87
	1.95	1.87
	1.98	1.85
	1.94	1.87	Watch
	1.91	1.8
	1.95	1.87
	1.98	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.03)	1.85 ↑ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 45.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Network on TV: ESPN, ESPN2, ESPNU, ESPNEWS, ESPN Deportes

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Current Win Probability

Penn State Nittany Lions
48.7%

Notre Dame Fighting Irish
51.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

53.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

49.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Penn State Nittany Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Notre Dame Fighting Irish has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penn State Nittany Lions than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notre Dame Fighting Irish than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Penn State Nittany Lions - Notre Dame Fighting Irish Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Penn State will win (votes: 18 - 75%). Notre Dame will win (votes: 6 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Penn State: 57.7% – 92.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 22:24

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (0 - 0)
2nd Quarter (10 - 3)
00:08, Barker R. (Field Goal),
12:42, Singleton N. (Touchdown),
12:42, Barker R. (Extra Point),
15:00, Jeter M. (Field Goal),
3rd Quarter (0 - 7)
04:14, Leonard R. (Touchdown),
04:14, Jeter M. (Extra Point),
4th Quarter (14 - 17)
00:53, Love J. (Touchdown),
00:53, Jeter M. (Extra Point),
04:40, Singleton N. (Touchdown),
04:40, Barker R. (Extra Point),
07:05, Singleton N. (Touchdown),
07:05, Barker R. (Extra Point),
10:22, Greathouse J. (Touchdown),
10:22, Jeter M. (Extra Point),
14:53, Jeter M. (Field Goal),

Preview

Penn State is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Notre Dame in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Notre Dame could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Penn State Nittany Lions football
NCAA College Football
31.12.24	Boise State Broncos - Penn State Nittany Lions	14:31 ✺
21.12.24	Penn State Nittany Lions - Southern Methodist Mustangs	38:10 ✺
07.12.24	Oregon Ducks - Penn State Nittany Lions	45:37 ✺
30.11.24	Penn State Nittany Lions - Maryland Terrapins	44:7 ✺
23.11.24	Minnesota Golden Gophers - Penn State Nittany Lions	25:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWLWW
- Notre Dame Fighting Irish football
NCAA College Football
02.01.25	Georgia Bulldogs - Notre Dame Fighting Irish	10:23 ✺
20.12.24	Notre Dame Fighting Irish - Indiana Hoosiers	27:17 ✺
30.11.24	USC Trojans - Notre Dame Fighting Irish	35:49 ✺
23.11.24	Notre Dame Fighting Irish - Army Black Knights	49:14 ✺
16.11.24	Notre Dame Fighting Irish - Virginia Cavaliers	35:14 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWWW

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