Match Info

USA: NFL - ROUND 17

Date: 1 January 2023, Sunday

Location: Lincoln Financial Field (Philadelphia)


	Philadelphia Eagles		New Orleans Saints

	1	2
	1.43	2.9	Watch
	1.4	3
	1.41	3.1
	1.41	2.9
	1.43	3.04
	1.42	3
	1.38	3.13
	1.38	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.47)	2.98 ↑ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 42.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Philadelphia Eagles
67.9%

New Orleans Saints
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.6%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Philadelphia Eagles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

New Orleans Saints has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Eagles than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Orleans Saints than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.1%	0%	6.9%

Philadelphia Eagles - New Orleans Saints Predictions

Users Predictions: Philadelphia Eagles will win (27 of 29 users predict this - 93.1%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.88% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 24:19

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 and 11).

Philadelphia has currently - 13-2, was already of playoffs, has a good chance of win division (95%), has a good chance of 1st-round bye (94%).

New Orleans has currently - 6-9, has a very small chance of playoffs (3%), has a very small chance of win division (3%), has not chance of 1st-round bye.

This event has quality 61, importance 33, match rating 47. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Philadelphia won 3.

Philadelphia is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches New Orleans is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Philadelphia is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Philadelphia to win the game is with odds 1.41.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Philadelphia won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 161-189.

Including matches at home between the teams Philadelphia won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 127-93.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Philadelphia Eagles
NFL
24.12.22	Dallas Cowboys - Philadelphia Eagles	40:34 ✺
18.12.22	Chicago Bears - Philadelphia Eagles	20:25 ✺
11.12.22	New York Giants - Philadelphia Eagles	22:48 ✺
04.12.22	Philadelphia Eagles - Tennessee Titans	35:10 ✺
27.11.22	Philadelphia Eagles - Green Bay Packers	40:33 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWWWW
- New Orleans Saints
NFL
24.12.22	Cleveland Browns - New Orleans Saints	10:17 ✺
18.12.22	New Orleans Saints - Atlanta Falcons	21:18 ✺
05.12.22	Tampa Bay Buccaneers - New Orleans Saints	17:16 ✺
27.11.22	San Francisco 49ers - New Orleans Saints	13:0 ✺
20.11.22	New Orleans Saints - Los Angeles Rams	27:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

NFL
21.11.21	Philadelphia Eagles - New Orleans Saints	40:29
13.12.20	Philadelphia Eagles - New Orleans Saints	24:21
13.01.19	New Orleans Saints - Philadelphia Eagles	20:14
18.11.18	New Orleans Saints - Philadelphia Eagles	48:7
11.10.15	Philadelphia Eagles - New Orleans Saints	39:17
04.01.14	Philadelphia Eagles - New Orleans Saints	24:26
05.11.12	New Orleans Saints - Philadelphia Eagles	28:13

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