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Current Win Probability
San Francisco 49ers 72%
Washington Commanders 28%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
72.1%
27.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
65.9%
34.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Francisco 49ers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
Washington Commanders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Francisco 49ers than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Francisco 49ers that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Washington Commanders than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Washington Commanders could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
85.7%
0%
14.3%
San Francisco 49ers - Washington Commanders Predictions
Users Predictions:
San Francisco 49ers will win
(48 of 56 users predict this - 85.71%). Confidence interval (95%): 76.54% – 94.88%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 23:16
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Preview
The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 and 6).
San Francisco has currently - 10-4, was already of playoffs, was already of win division, has a very small chance of 1st-round bye (0.7%).
Washington has currently - 7-6-1, has a chance of playoffs (34%), has not chance of win division, has not chance of 1st-round bye.
This event has quality57, importance58, match rating58. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
San Francisco in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Washington is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Washington could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match San Francisco is a favorite.
Our prediction for today's San Francisco to win the game is with odds 1.32.
Last 5 head-to-head matches San Francisco won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 92-68.
Including matches at home between the teams San Francisco won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 32-36.
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