Match Info

USA: NCAA

Date: 5 November 2022, Saturday


	Southern Methodist Mustangs		Houston Cougars

	1	2
	1.6	2.45
	1.62	2.35
	1.63	2.2
	1.59	2.27
	1.65	2.36
	1.6	2.25
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.61	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.82)	2.32 ↑ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 66.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Southern Methodist Mustangs
59%

Houston Cougars
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

48.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.9%

50.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Southern Methodist Mustangs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Southern Methodist Mustangs's performance.

Houston Cougars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Houston Cougars might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southern Methodist Mustangs than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Southern Methodist Mustangs that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Houston Cougars than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Houston Cougars could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Southern Methodist Mustangs - Houston Cougars Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Southern Methodist will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Houston will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 35:31

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Southern Methodist won 3.

Recent matches Southern Methodist is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Houston is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Southern Methodist will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Southern Methodist won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 285-317.

Including matches at home between the teams Southern Methodist won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 164-124.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Southern Methodist Mustangs football
NCAA College Football
29.10.22	Tulsa Golden Hurricane - Southern Methodist Mustangs	34:45 ✺
22.10.22	Southern Methodist Mustangs - Cincinnati Bearcats	27:29 ✺
14.10.22	Southern Methodist Mustangs - Navy Midshipmen	40:34 ✺
05.10.22	UCF Knights - Southern Methodist Mustangs	41:19 ✺
24.09.22	Southern Methodist Mustangs - TCU Horned Frogs	34:42 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLWLL
- Houston Cougars football
NCAA College Football
29.10.22	Houston Cougars - South Florida Bulls	42:27 ✺
22.10.22	Navy Midshipmen - Houston Cougars	20:38 ✺
07.10.22	Memphis Tigers - Houston Cougars	32:33 ✺
30.09.22	Houston Cougars - Tulane Green Wave	24:27 OT ✺
24.09.22	Houston Cougars - Rice Owls	34:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Football
30.10.21	Houston Cougars - Southern Methodist Mustangs	44:37
24.10.19	Houston Cougars - Southern Methodist Mustangs	31:34
03.11.18	Southern Methodist Mustangs - Houston Cougars	45:31
07.10.17	Houston Cougars - Southern Methodist Mustangs	35:22
22.10.16	Southern Methodist Mustangs - Houston Cougars	38:16
08.10.15	Houston Cougars - Southern Methodist Mustangs	49:28
28.11.14	Southern Methodist Mustangs - Houston Cougars	9:35

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