The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Southern Miss Golden Eagles 33.4%
Arkansas State Red Wolves 66.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
31.3%
68.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.6%
71.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Southern Miss Golden Eagles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
Arkansas State Red Wolves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southern Miss Golden Eagles than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arkansas State Red Wolves than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
Southern Miss Golden Eagles - Arkansas State Red Wolves Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:35
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Key Events of the Match
1st Quarter (0 - 6)
06', (Field Goal),
13', (Field Goal),
2nd Quarter (7 - 10)
04', (Touchdown),
05', (Extra Point),
08', (Touchdown),
09', (Extra Point),
12', (Field Goal),
3rd Quarter (0 - 0)
4th Quarter (6 - 7)
02', (Touchdown),
02', (Extra Point),
05', (Touchdown),
Preview
Southern Miss is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Arkansas State have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Southern Miss could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Bookmakers give the edge to Arkansas State for this game.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Southern Miss has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 112:128 (averaging 28:32 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Southern Miss against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 48:63 goals (averaging 24:31.5 per game).
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