Match Info

NCAA

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday


	TCU Horned Frogs		Baylor Bears

	1	2
	1.63	2.35
	1.59	2.29
	1.62	2.42
	1.58	2.26	Watch
	1.62	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.66)	2.31 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 66.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

TCU Horned Frogs
58.9%

Baylor Bears
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.7%

43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

45.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

TCU Horned Frogs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Baylor Bears has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for TCU Horned Frogs than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baylor Bears than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

TCU Horned Frogs - Baylor Bears Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 35:32

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (0 - 7)
13:59, Washington B. (Touchdown),
13:59, Hawkins C. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (21 - 3)
03:58, Rogers D. (Touchdown),
03:58, McCashland N. (Extra Point),
08:44, Barnes K. (Touchdown),
08:44, McCashland N. (Extra Point),
12:56, Hawkins C. (Field Goal),
14:45, Dwyer J. (Touchdown),
14:45, McCashland N. (Extra Point),
3rd Quarter (7 - 8)
03:20, Hoover J. (Touchdown),
03:20, McCashland N. (Extra Point),
08:12, Robertson S. (Touchdown),
08:12, (Two-Point Conversion),
4th Quarter (14 - 18)
00:02, Hawkins C. (Field Goal),
01:03, Battle T. (Touchdown),
01:53, McCashland N. (Extra Point),
08:46, Barnes K. (Touchdown),
08:46, McCashland N. (Extra Point),
11:45, Thomas K. (Touchdown),
11:45, (Two-Point Conversion),
14:22, Wilson K. (Touchdown),
14:22, Hawkins C. (Extra Point),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, TCU won 4.

TCU has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Baylor is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Baylor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

TCU might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, TCU won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 487:359. (average 37.5:27.6).

Including home matches between the teams, TCU won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 206:158. (average 34.3:26.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TCU Horned Frogs football
NCAA College Football
11.10.25	Kansas State Wildcats - TCU Horned Frogs	41:28 ✺
04.10.25	TCU Horned Frogs - Colorado Buffaloes	35:21 ✺
26.09.25	Arizona State Sun Devils - TCU Horned Frogs	27:24 ✺
20.09.25	TCU Horned Frogs - Southern Methodist Mustangs	35:24 ✺
13.09.25	TCU Horned Frogs - Abilene Christian Wildcats	42:21 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLWW
- Baylor Bears football
NCAA College Football
04.10.25	Baylor Bears - Kansas State Wildcats	35:34 ✺
27.09.25	Oklahoma State Cowboys - Baylor Bears	27:45 ✺
20.09.25	Baylor Bears - Arizona State Sun Devils	24:27 ✺
13.09.25	Baylor Bears - Samford Bulldogs	42:7 ✺
06.09.25	Southern Methodist Mustangs - Baylor Bears	45:48 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Football
02.11.24	Baylor Bears - TCU Horned Frogs	37:34
18.11.23	TCU Horned Frogs - Baylor Bears	42:17
19.11.22	Baylor Bears - TCU Horned Frogs	28:29
06.11.21	TCU Horned Frogs - Baylor Bears	30:28
31.10.20	Baylor Bears - TCU Horned Frogs	23:33
09.11.19	TCU Horned Frogs - Baylor Bears	23:29 OT
17.11.18	Baylor Bears - TCU Horned Frogs	9:16

TCU Horned Frogs - Baylor Bears: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide