Match Info

NCAA

Date: 7 November 2025, Friday


	UCF Knights		Houston Cougars

	1	2
	1.91	1.91
	1.85	1.91
	1.85	2.04
	1.87	1.87	Watch
	1.91	1.83
	1.88	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (1.99)	1.91 ↑ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 47.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UCF Knights
50.4%

Houston Cougars
49.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

52.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6%

48.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UCF Knights has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Houston Cougars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UCF Knights than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Houston Cougars than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

UCF Knights - Houston Cougars Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 23:25

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (3 - 0)
10:43, Ruelas N. (Field Goal),
2nd Quarter (21 - 17)
05:21, Montgomery M. (Touchdown),
05:21, Venneri A. (Extra Point),
07:08, Thomas A. (Touchdown),
07:08, Sanchez E. (Extra Point),
08:14, McCutchin L. (Touchdown),
08:14, Sanchez E. (Extra Point),
12:55, Nixon J. (Touchdown),
12:55, Ruelas N. (Extra Point),
13:24, Dunnam P. (Touchdown),
13:24, Ruelas N. (Extra Point),
14:56, Sanchez E. (Field Goal),
3rd Quarter (3 - 7)
07:22, Connors D. (Touchdown),
07:22, Sanchez E. (Extra Point),
13:54, Ruelas N. (Field Goal),
4th Quarter (0 - 6)
03:41, Sanchez E. (Field Goal),
12:29, Sanchez E. (Field Goal),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UCF won 3.

Recent form of UCF has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Houston has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Houston may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, UCF won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 185:179. (average 26.4:25.6).

Including home matches between the teams, UCF won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 100:115. (average 25:28.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UCF Knights football
NCAA College Football
01.11.25	Baylor Bears - UCF Knights	30:3 ✺
18.10.25	UCF Knights - West Virginia Mountaineers	45:13 ✺
11.10.25	Cincinnati Bearcats - UCF Knights	20:11 ✺
04.10.25	UCF Knights - Kansas Jayhawks	20:27 ✺
27.09.25	Kansas State Wildcats - UCF Knights	34:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LWLLL
- Houston Cougars football
NCAA College Football
01.11.25	Houston Cougars - West Virginia Mountaineers	35:45 ✺
25.10.25	Arizona State Sun Devils - Houston Cougars	16:24 ✺
18.10.25	Houston Cougars - Arizona Wildcats	31:28 ✺
11.10.25	Oklahoma State Cowboys - Houston Cougars	17:39 ✺
04.10.25	Houston Cougars - Texas Tech Red Raiders	11:35 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Football
25.11.23	UCF Knights - Houston Cougars	27:13
31.10.20	Houston Cougars - UCF Knights	21:44
02.11.19	UCF Knights - Houston Cougars	44:29
29.10.16	Houston Cougars - UCF Knights	31:24
24.10.15	UCF Knights - Houston Cougars	10:59
02.10.14	Houston Cougars - UCF Knights	12:17
09.11.13	UCF Knights - Houston Cougars	19:14

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