Match Info

USA: NCAA

Date: 25 November 2023, Saturday


	UNLV Rebels		San Jose State Spartans

	1	2
	1.83	2
	1.83	2
	1.83	2	Watch
	1.82	2.08
	1.83	2.07
	1.73	2
	1.83	1.99
	1.78	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.58)	2.01 ↓ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 58.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UNLV Rebels
52.6%

San Jose State Spartans
47.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UNLV Rebels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that UNLV Rebels's form might have worsened.

San Jose State Spartans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting San Jose State Spartans's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UNLV Rebels than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for UNLV Rebels, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Jose State Spartans than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for San Jose State Spartans, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

UNLV Rebels - San Jose State Spartans Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:28

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches UNLV won 1.

UNLV is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

San Jose State in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

UNLV could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Our prediction for today's UNLV to win the game is with odds 1.71.

Last 10 head-to-head matches UNLV won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 245-329.

Including matches at home between the teams UNLV won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 150-142.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UNLV Rebels football
NCAA College Football
18.11.23	Air Force Falcons - UNLV Rebels	27:31 ✺
10.11.23	UNLV Rebels - Wyoming Cowboys	34:14 ✺
04.11.23	New Mexico Lobos - UNLV Rebels	14:56 ✺
28.10.23	Fresno State Bulldogs - UNLV Rebels	31:24 ✺
21.10.23	UNLV Rebels - Colorado State Rams	25:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWWLW
- San Jose State Spartans football
NCAA College Football
18.11.23	San Jose State Spartans - San Diego State Aztecs	24:13 ✺
11.11.23	San Jose State Spartans - Fresno State Bulldogs	42:18 ✺
28.10.23	Hawaii Warriors - San Jose State Spartans	0:35 ✺
21.10.23	San Jose State Spartans - Utah State Aggies	42:21 ✺
14.10.23	New Mexico Lobos - San Jose State Spartans	24:52 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Football
07.10.22	San Jose State Spartans - UNLV Rebels	40:7
21.10.21	UNLV Rebels - San Jose State Spartans	20:27
14.11.20	San Jose State Spartans - UNLV Rebels	34:17
23.11.19	UNLV Rebels - San Jose State Spartans	38:35
27.10.18	San Jose State Spartans - UNLV Rebels	50:37
30.09.17	UNLV Rebels - San Jose State Spartans	41:13
29.10.16	San Jose State Spartans - UNLV Rebels	30:24

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