Match Info

NCAA

Date: 28 November 2025, Friday


	Utah State Aggies		Boise State Broncos

	1	2
	2.05	1.8
	1.98	1.79
	2.1	1.8
	2.21	1.62	Watch
	1.91	1.83
	1.9	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.21)	1.78 ↑ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 54.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Utah State Aggies
46.8%

Boise State Broncos
53.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

57.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Utah State Aggies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Boise State Broncos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utah State Aggies than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boise State Broncos than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	0%	8.3%

Utah State Aggies - Boise State Broncos Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Utah State will win (votes: 11 - 91.7%). Boise State will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Utah State: 76.1% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Utah State Aggies will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 26:28

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (14 - 10)
02:31, Barnes B. (Touchdown),
02:31, Rinker T. (Extra Point),
07:02, Boomer C. (Field Goal),
09:53, Wagner M. (Touchdown),
09:53, Boomer C. (Extra Point),
10:55, Jacobs J. (Touchdown),
10:55, Rinker T. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (7 - 3)
13:05, Davis M. (Touchdown),
13:05, Rinker T. (Extra Point),
14:48, Boomer C. (Field Goal),
3rd Quarter (3 - 6)
10:51, Rinker T. (Field Goal),
11:43, Brown Q. (Touchdown),
4th Quarter (0 - 6)
12:34, Riley D. (Touchdown),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Utah State won 0.

Utah State is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Boise State has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Boise State could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Utah State won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 242:479. (average 20.2:39.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Utah State won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 123:229. (average 20.5:38.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Utah State Aggies football
NCAA College Football
22.11.25	Fresno State Bulldogs - Utah State Aggies	17:28 ✺
15.11.25	UNLV Rebels - Utah State Aggies	23:26 ✺
08.11.25	Utah State Aggies - Nevada Wolf Pack	51:14 ✺
25.10.25	New Mexico Lobos - Utah State Aggies	33:14 ✺
17.10.25	Utah State Aggies - San Jose State Spartans	30:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWWLW
- Boise State Broncos football
NCAA College Football
22.11.25	Boise State Broncos - Colorado State Rams	49:21 ✺
15.11.25	San Diego State Aztecs - Boise State Broncos	17:7 ✺
01.11.25	Boise State Broncos - Fresno State Bulldogs	7:30 ✺
24.10.25	Nevada Wolf Pack - Boise State Broncos	3:24 ✺
18.10.25	Boise State Broncos - UNLV Rebels	56:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Football
05.10.24	Boise State Broncos - Utah State Aggies	62:30
18.11.23	Utah State Aggies - Boise State Broncos	10:45
25.11.22	Boise State Broncos - Utah State Aggies	42:23
25.09.21	Utah State Aggies - Boise State Broncos	3:27
24.10.20	Boise State Broncos - Utah State Aggies	42:13
23.11.19	Utah State Aggies - Boise State Broncos	21:56
24.11.18	Boise State Broncos - Utah State Aggies	33:24

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