Match Info
NCAADate: 25 October 2025, Saturday
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New Mexico Lobos |
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Utah State Aggies |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.67 |
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2.25 |
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1.64 |
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2.2 |
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1.61 |
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2.4 |
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1.74 |
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2.02 |
Watch |
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1.62 |
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2.22 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.66 ↓ (1.74) |
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2.22 ↑ (2.02) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 61.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)
- The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
New Mexico Lobos 57.3% | Utah State Aggies 42.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New Mexico Lobos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)Utah State Aggies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for New Mexico Lobos than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with New Mexico Lobos that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utah State Aggies than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Utah State Aggies could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.New Mexico Lobos - Utah State Aggies Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 33:30 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Quarter (7 - 0)
- 05:46, McKinney D. (Touchdown),
- 05:46, Drzewiecki L. (Extra Point),
- 2nd Quarter (19 - 7)
- 01:31, McKinney D. (Touchdown),
- 01:31, Drzewiecki L. (Extra Point),
- 05:58, White S. (Two-Point Conversion),
- 09:01, Drzewiecki L. (Field Goal),
- 10:09, Davis M. (Touchdown),
- 10:09, Rinker T. (Extra Point),
- 12:16, Keith C. (Touchdown),
- 12:16, Drzewiecki L. (Extra Point),
- 3rd Quarter (0 - 0)
- 4th Quarter (7 - 7)
- 02:11, Pegan B. (Touchdown),
- 02:11, Rinker T. (Extra Point),
- 06:32, Bankston D. (Touchdown),
- 06:32, Drzewiecki L. (Extra Point),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New Mexico won 1.The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.New Mexico may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. New Mexico is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.In the last 12 head-to-head matches, New Mexico won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 261:422. (average 21.8:35.2).Including home matches between the teams, New Mexico won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 110:199. (average 18.3:33.2).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| NCAA College Football | | | 19.10.24 | Utah State Aggies - New Mexico Lobos | 45:50 | | 24.11.23 | New Mexico Lobos - Utah State Aggies | 41:44 OT | | 05.11.22 | Utah State Aggies - New Mexico Lobos | 27:10 | | 26.11.21 | New Mexico Lobos - Utah State Aggies | 10:35 | | 26.11.20 | Utah State Aggies - New Mexico Lobos | 41:27 | | 30.11.19 | New Mexico Lobos - Utah State Aggies | 25:38 | | 27.10.18 | Utah State Aggies - New Mexico Lobos | 61:19 |
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