Match Info

NCAA

Date: 5 December 2025, Friday


	Boise State Broncos		UNLV Rebels

	1	2
	1.41	3
	1.4	2.84
	1.44	2.95
	1.42	2.85	Watch
	1.4	2.88
	1.42	2.78
	1.4	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.58)	2.89 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 59.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boise State Broncos
67.1%

UNLV Rebels
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.1%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60%

40%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boise State Broncos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Boise State Broncos's performance.

UNLV Rebels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and UNLV Rebels might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boise State Broncos than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Boise State Broncos that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UNLV Rebels than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that UNLV Rebels could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Boise State Broncos - UNLV Rebels Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 33:27

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (14 - 0)
08:20, Madsen M. (Touchdown),
08:20, Boomer C. (Extra Point),
14:42, Riley D. (Touchdown),
14:42, Boomer C. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (14 - 14)
06:18, Bates C. (Touchdown),
06:18, Boomer C. (Extra Point),
11:52, Colandrea A. (Touchdown),
11:52, Villela R. (Extra Point),
13:10, Sherrod M. (Touchdown),
13:10, Boomer C. (Extra Point),
14:12, Omeire T. (Touchdown),
14:12, Villela R. (Extra Point),
3rd Quarter (0 - 7)
12:01, Earle J. (Touchdown),
12:01, Villela R. (Extra Point),
4th Quarter (10 - 0)
01:39, Gaines S. (Touchdown),
01:39, Boomer C. (Extra Point),
11:47, Boomer C. (Field Goal),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boise State won 4.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Boise State will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Boise State won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 317:154. (average 31.7:15.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Boise State won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 151:70. (average 30.2:14).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boise State Broncos football
NCAA College Football
28.11.25	Utah State Aggies - Boise State Broncos	24:25 ✺
22.11.25	Boise State Broncos - Colorado State Rams	49:21 ✺
15.11.25	San Diego State Aztecs - Boise State Broncos	17:7 ✺
01.11.25	Boise State Broncos - Fresno State Bulldogs	7:30 ✺
24.10.25	Nevada Wolf Pack - Boise State Broncos	3:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWLLW
- UNLV Rebels football
NCAA College Football
29.11.25	Nevada Wolf Pack - UNLV Rebels	17:42 ✺
21.11.25	UNLV Rebels - Hawaii Warriors	38:10 ✺
15.11.25	UNLV Rebels - Utah State Aggies	23:26 ✺
08.11.25	Colorado State Rams - UNLV Rebels	10:42 ✺
01.11.25	UNLV Rebels - New Mexico Lobos	35:40 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Football
18.10.25	Boise State Broncos - UNLV Rebels	56:31
06.12.24	Boise State Broncos - UNLV Rebels	21:7
25.10.24	UNLV Rebels - Boise State Broncos	24:29
02.12.23	UNLV Rebels - Boise State Broncos	20:44
04.12.20	UNLV Rebels - Boise State Broncos	Canceled
05.10.19	UNLV Rebels - Boise State Broncos	13:38
18.11.16	Boise State Broncos - UNLV Rebels	42:25

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