The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Washington Commanders 26.2%
Dallas Cowboys 73.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.6%
54.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.1%
50.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Washington Commanders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Washington Commanders's form might have worsened.
Dallas Cowboys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dallas Cowboys's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Washington Commanders than the current prediction. (+22.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Washington Commanders, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dallas Cowboys than the current prediction. (-22.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dallas Cowboys, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
15.4%
0%
84.6%
Washington Commanders - Dallas Cowboys Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 50.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Dallas Cowboys will win
(11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%). Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Dallas Cowboys will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 21:30
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Key Events of the Match
1st Quarter (3 - 7)
05:18, Ferguson J. (Touchdown),
05:18, Aubrey B. (Extra Point),
10:13, Moody J. (Field Goal),
2nd Quarter (7 - 17)
02:54, Williams J. (Touchdown),
02:54, Aubrey B. (Extra Point),
08:00, Turpin K. (Touchdown),
08:00, Aubrey B. (Extra Point),
10:25, Croskey-Merritt J. (Touchdown),
10:25, Moody J. (Extra Point),
14:38, Aubrey B. (Field Goal),
3rd Quarter (10 - 3)
05:26, Croskey-Merritt J. (Touchdown),
05:26, Moody J. (Extra Point),
10:13, Aubrey B. (Field Goal),
14:41, Moody J. (Field Goal),
4th Quarter (3 - 3)
01:24, Aubrey B. (Missed Field Goal),
10:59, Aubrey B. (Field Goal),
12:46, Moody J. (Field Goal),
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Washington won 1.
Recent form of Washington has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Dallas has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Recently, Dallas has had a series of home games.
In this match, Dallas is a strong favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Washington won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 423:591. (average 21.2:29.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Washington won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 190:216. (average 21.1:24).