Match Info

USA: NCAA - Bowl

Date: 17 December 2024, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ESPN
Brazil	ESPN 3
Hungary	Net4+
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Main Event


	West Virginia Mountaineers		Memphis Tigers

	1	2
	2.7	1.49
	2.7	1.48
	2.7	1.48	Watch
	2.85	1.46
	2.7	1.46	Watch
	2.62	1.44
	2.65	1.5
	2.8	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (2.23)	1.47 ↓ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 60.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

Watch this match and NCAA College Football with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: ESPN

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Current Win Probability

West Virginia Mountaineers
35.1%

Memphis Tigers
64.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

57.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

56.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

West Virginia Mountaineers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that West Virginia Mountaineers's form might have worsened.

Memphis Tigers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Memphis Tigers's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for West Virginia Mountaineers than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for West Virginia Mountaineers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Memphis Tigers than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Memphis Tigers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

West Virginia Mountaineers - Memphis Tigers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:33

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (0 - 7)
09:54, Anderson M. (Touchdown),
09:54, Vandenberg T. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (17 - 21)
00:04, Vandenberg T. (Field Goal),
04:14, Desrosiers G. (Touchdown),
04:14, Vandenberg T. (Extra Point),
07:32, Clement H. (Touchdown),
07:32, Hayes M. (Extra Point),
12:30, Vandenberg T. (Field Goal),
13:16, Greene G. (Touchdown),
13:16, Hayes M. (Extra Point),
14:05, Blankumsee D. (Touchdown),
14:05, Blankumsee D. (Two-Point Conversion),
15:00, Hayes M. (Field Goal),
3rd Quarter (6 - 7)
03:50, Anderson M. (Touchdown),
03:50, Vandenberg T. (Extra Point),
07:45, Clement H. (Touchdown),
4th Quarter (14 - 7)
02:58, Donaldson C. (Touchdown),
02:58, Hayes M. (Extra Point),
04:11, Thomas B. (Touchdown),
04:11, Vandenberg T. (Extra Point),
10:43, Donaldson C. (Touchdown),
10:43, Hayes M. (Extra Point),

Preview

Recent matches West Virginia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Memphis is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Memphis is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Memphis to win the game is with odds 1.4.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- West Virginia Mountaineers football
NCAA College Football
30.11.24	Texas Tech Red Raiders - West Virginia Mountaineers	52:15 ✺
23.11.24	West Virginia Mountaineers - UCF Knights	31:21 ✺
16.11.24	West Virginia Mountaineers - Baylor Bears	35:49 ✺
09.11.24	Cincinnati Bearcats - West Virginia Mountaineers	24:31 ✺
26.10.24	Arizona Wildcats - West Virginia Mountaineers	26:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWLWW
- Memphis Tigers football
NCAA College Football
28.11.24	Tulane Green Wave - Memphis Tigers	24:34 ✺
16.11.24	Memphis Tigers - UAB Blazers	53:18 ✺
08.11.24	Memphis Tigers - Rice Owls	27:20 ✺
02.11.24	UT-San Antonio Roadrunners - Memphis Tigers	44:36 ✺
26.10.24	Memphis Tigers - Charlotte 49ers	33:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWWLW

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