Match Info

USA: NCAA

Date: 23 November 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Hungary	Net4+


	West Virginia Mountaineers		UCF Knights

	1	2
	2.35	1.63
	2.35	1.62
	2.3	1.65
	2.33	1.66
	2.26	1.62	Watch
	2.25	1.6
	2.35	1.63
	2.3	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2)	1.63 ↓ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 61.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Network on TV: ESPN U

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Current Win Probability

West Virginia Mountaineers
41.4%

UCF Knights
58.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

52.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

53.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

West Virginia Mountaineers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that West Virginia Mountaineers's form might have worsened.

UCF Knights has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting UCF Knights's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for West Virginia Mountaineers than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for West Virginia Mountaineers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UCF Knights than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for UCF Knights, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

West Virginia Mountaineers - UCF Knights Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:33

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (14 - 0)
04:26, Donaldson C. (Touchdown),
04:26, Hayes M. (Extra Point),
13:13, White J. (Touchdown),
13:13, Hayes M. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (7 - 7)
06:23, Harvey R. (Touchdown),
06:23, Reddick G. (Extra Point),
14:45, Gallagher R. (Touchdown),
14:45, Hayes M. (Extra Point),
3rd Quarter (7 - 7)
02:50, Donaldson C. (Touchdown),
02:50, Hayes M. (Extra Point),
09:22, Hudson K. (Touchdown),
09:22, Reddick G. (Extra Point),
4th Quarter (3 - 7)
02:45, Hayes M. (Field Goal),
08:40, Harvey R. (Touchdown),
08:40, Reddick G. (Extra Point),

Preview

Recent matches West Virginia is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

UCF is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

UCF could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

UCF will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches West Virginia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 41:28

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- West Virginia Mountaineers football
NCAA College Football
16.11.24	West Virginia Mountaineers - Baylor Bears	35:49 ✺
09.11.24	Cincinnati Bearcats - West Virginia Mountaineers	24:31 ✺
26.10.24	Arizona Wildcats - West Virginia Mountaineers	26:31 ✺
19.10.24	West Virginia Mountaineers - Kansas State Wildcats	18:45 ✺
12.10.24	West Virginia Mountaineers - Iowa State Cyclones	16:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWWLL
- UCF Knights football
NCAA College Football
09.11.24	Arizona State Sun Devils - UCF Knights	35:31 ✺
02.11.24	UCF Knights - Arizona Wildcats	56:12 ✺
26.10.24	UCF Knights - Brigham Young Cougars	24:37 ✺
19.10.24	Iowa State Cyclones - UCF Knights	38:35 ✺
12.10.24	UCF Knights - Cincinnati Bearcats	13:19 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Football
28.10.23	UCF Knights - West Virginia Mountaineers	28:41

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