Match Info

VFL - Round 15

Date: 6 July 2025, Sunday

Location: Casey Fields (Cranbourne East)


	Casey Scorpions		Coburg

	1	2
	1.32	3.06
	1.4	2.75
	1.41	2.87
	1.36	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.38)	2.92 ↑ (2.86)

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-17)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Casey Scorpions
68%

Coburg
32%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

67.5%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.7%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casey Scorpions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Coburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casey Scorpions than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Casey Scorpions, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coburg than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Coburg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Casey Scorpions - Coburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Casey will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (18 - 7)
2nd Quarter (17 - 8)
3rd Quarter (11 - 28)
4th Quarter (25 - 32)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Casey won 5.

Casey is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Coburg has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Coburg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Casey has had a series of away games.

In this match, Casey is the team to beat.

We predict that Casey will win today's game, with odds of 1.38.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Casey won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1034:594. (average 103.4:59.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Casey won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 381:218. (average 95.3:54.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Casey Scorpions
VFL
27.06.25	Gold Coast Suns 2 - Casey Scorpions	97:88 ✺
14.06.25	Casey Scorpions - Essendon Bombers 2	112:83 ✺
07.06.25	Collingwood Magpies 2 - Casey Scorpions	48:57 ✺
30.05.25	Sydney Swans 2 - Casey Scorpions	61:155 ✺
24.05.25	Northern Bullants - Casey Scorpions	50:121 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWWWW
- Coburg FC
VFL
28.06.25	Coburg - Frankston	64:91 ✺
21.06.25	Port Melbourne - Coburg	67:77 ✺
14.06.25	Coburg - Box Hill Hawks	50:88 ✺
06.06.25	Coburg - Footscray	67:111 ✺
30.05.25	Gold Coast Suns 2 - Coburg	47:135 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

VFL
21.07.23	Coburg - Casey Scorpions	53:95
16.04.22	Casey Scorpions - Coburg	90:55
22.06.19	Coburg - Casey Scorpions	50:65
22.06.18	Casey Scorpions - Coburg	108:31
07.04.18	Coburg - Casey Scorpions	73:180
30.07.17	Casey Scorpions - Coburg	86:43
04.06.17	Coburg - Casey Scorpions	68:86

Casey Scorpions - Coburg: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide