Match Info
VFL - Round 15Date: 5 July 2025, Saturday
|
 |
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 |
|
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Collingwood Magpies 2 |
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Carlton Blues 2 |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.67 |
|
2.05 |
|
 |
1.7 |
|
2.05 |
|
 |
1.73 |
|
2.1 |
|
 |
1.73 |
|
2.1 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.71 ↑
(1.7) |
|
2.08 ↑
(2.07) |
|
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)
- The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Collingwood Magpies 2
54.9% | Carlton Blues 2
45.1% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Collingwood Magpies 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Carlton Blues 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Collingwood Magpies 2 than the current prediction. (-13.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Collingwood Magpies 2 that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlton Blues 2 than the current prediction. (+13.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carlton Blues 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats. 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Quarter (21 - 21)
- 2nd Quarter (22 - 14)
- 3rd Quarter (32 - 33)
- 4th Quarter (4 - 15)
Preview
Both teams have been playing unpredictably. In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Collingwood 2 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 342:438. (average 68.4:87.6).Including home matches between the teams, Collingwood 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 218:305. (average 72.7:101.7).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| VFL | | | 20.07.24 | Collingwood Magpies 2 - Carlton Blues 2 | 50:133 | | 14.04.24 | Carlton Blues 2 - Collingwood Magpies 2 | 82:83 | | 28.07.23 | Collingwood Magpies 2 - Carlton Blues 2 | 100:72 | | 27.08.22 | Collingwood Magpies 2 - Carlton Blues 2 | 68:100 | | 20.08.22 | Carlton Blues 2 - Collingwood Magpies 2 | 51:41 |
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